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Rain could be a problem for ALCS Game 4

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Rain, rain go away, come again some other day.

Because if it doesn’t, people are gonna have to change their postseason plans.

The weather for the postseason has been beautiful so far, but that looks to change on Wednesday when big rain is expected to blow through New York. That could cause some problems for ALCS Game 4 and, if the game becomes necessary, a potential NLCS Game 5 could be moved back from an afternoon to an evening start.

As of 7:30 AM this morning, the forecast for the Bronx on Wednesday night is showing a 95% to 100% chance of rain between 7PM and 10PM, with it tapering slightly after that, but not dipping below 50% until after 1AM early Thursday morning:

Baseball can handle rain delays, but that looks more like the kind of pattern that leads to a full postponement, not mere delays.

If the game is postponed the league is likely to move the Cardinals-Nationals Game 5, if it is indeed necessary, from its current 4:08 PM starting time to prime time. Which, actually, would be a very good thing apart from mere TV start times, because Washington is expected to have a ton of rain in the mid-to-late afternoon on Wednesday, with things clearing up and drying out in the early evening. That would make a 7:30 or 8PM start time a whole lot better, weather-wise.

If those moves happened, MLB would then move ALCS Game 4 to Thursday, ALCS Game 5 to Friday, eliminating the travel day, and a potential ALCS Game 6 would be played in Houston on Saturday.

The call to postpone Wednesday’s Astros-Yankees game would likely be made well in advance of game time. The call to move a Cards-Nats NLCS Game 5 to the evening is contingent on the Cardinals actually showing up for this series for the first time and winning a dang game.

Video reviews overturn 42% rate; Boston most successful

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NEW YORK (AP) Video reviews overturned 42.4% of calls checked during Major League Baseball’s shortened regular season, down slightly from 44% in 2019.

Boston was the most successful team, gaining overturned calls on 10 of 13 challenges for 76.9%. The Chicago White Sox were second, successful on eight of 11 challenges for 72.7%, followed by Kansas City at seven of 10 (70%).

Pittsburgh was the least successful at 2 of 11 (18.2%), and Toronto was 7 of 25 (28%).

Minnesota had the most challenges with 28 and was successful on nine (32.1%). The New York Yankees and Milwaukee tied for the fewest with nine each; the Yankees were successful on five (55.6%) and the Brewers three (33.3%).

MLB said Tuesday there were 468 manager challenges and 58 crew chief reviews among 526 total reviews during 898 games. The average time of a review was 1 minute, 25 seconds, up from 1:16 the previous season, when there 1,186 manager challenges and 170 crew chief reviews among 1,356 reviews during 2,429 games.

This year’s replays had 104 calls confirmed (19.8%), 181 that stood (34.4%) and 223 overturned. An additional 12 calls (2.3%) were for rules checks and six (1.1%) for recording keeping.

In 2019 there were 277 calls confirmed (12.5%), 463 that stood (34.1%) and 597 overturned. An additional nine calls (0.7%) were for rules checks and 10 (0.7%) for record keeping.

Expanded video review started in 2014.