HardballTalk’s postseason predictions

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The playoffs are weaponized randomness. The one-and-done Wild Card games are like Russian roulette, only with worse odds. As such, the sorts of caveats we offer with our usual regular season predictions apply even more so now. Picking playoff winners is a fool’s errand. Luckily, we here at HardballTalk are not afraid to look foolish.

As a General Observation, the Astros are Bill’s and my favorites. Indeed, we have the exact same bracket with the exception of the number of games each series will go, which we’re just pulling out of our butts anyway. Ashley picks the Braves to beat the Astros in a big, big upset in the World Series that I would very much like to see happen but which I do not have the courage to predict myself.

But such is life and predictions, the common thread between which being that none of us know what we’re doing, we’re all wrong most of the time and, in the end, it doesn’t really matter.

CRAIG

AL Wild Card: Rays beat Athletics
NL Wild Card: Nationals beat Brewers

ALDS1: Astros beat Rays in 4 games
ALDS2: Yankees beat Twins in 5 games

NLDS1: Dodgers beat Nationals in 4 games
NLDS2: Braves beat Cardinals in 5 games

ALCS: Astros beat Yankees in 6 games
NLCS: Dodgers beat Braves in 5 games

World Series: Astros beat Dodgers in 6 games

 

BILL

AL Wild Card: Rays beat Athletics
NL Wild Card: Nationals beat Brewers

ALDS1: Astros beat Rays in 3 games
ALDS2: Yankees beat Twins in 4 games

NLDS1: Dodgers beat Nationals in 4 games
NLDS2: Braves beat Cardinals in 5 games

ALCS: Astros beat Yankees in 5 games
NLCS: Dodgers beat Braves in 6 games

World Series: Astros beat Dodgers in 6 games

 

ASHLEY:

AL Wild Card: Rays beat Athletics
NL Wild Card: Brewers beat the Nationals

ALDS1: Astros beat the Rays in 4 games
ALDS2: Yankees beat the Twins in 5 games

NLDS1: Dodgers beat the Brewers in 4 games
NLDS2: Braves beat the Cardinals in 3 games

ALCS: Astros beat the Yankees in 5 games
NLCS: Braves beat the Dodgers in 6 games

World Series: Braves beat the Astros in 6 games

So it is written, so it shall be done. Right Casey?

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Gallegos agrees to 2-year, $11M contract with Cardinals

Atlanta Braves v St. Louis Cardinals
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ST. LOUIS – Reliever Giovanny Gallegos and the St. Louis Cardinals agreed to a two-year, $11 million contract, a deal that includes a club option for 2025 and escalators that could make it worth $20.5 million over three seasons.

The 31-year-old right-hander is 3-5 with a 2.91 ERA and 14 saves in 20 chances this season. He has 72 strikeouts and 15 walks in 58 2/3 innings.

“I feel so happy,” Gallegos said before the Cardinals played the Pirates in Pittsburgh. “I don’t have the word for exactly how I’m feeling.”

He was obtained from the Yankees in July 2018 along with left-hander Chasen Shreve in the trade that sent first baseman Luke Voit to New York. Gallegos is 14-15 with a 3.02 ERA and 34 saves in six major league seasons.

Gallegos gets a $500,000 signing bonus and salaries of $4.5 million next year and $5.5 million in 2024. St. Louis has a $6.5 million team option for 2025 with a $500,000 buyout.

His 2025 option price can increase by up to $3.5 million for games finished in 2024: $500,000 each for 20-25 and 26-30 and 31-35, and $1 million apiece for 36-40 and 41 or more.

He would get $250,000 for winning the Rivera/Hoffman reliever of the year award, $50,000 for All-Star selection and World Series MVP and $25,000 for League Championship Series MVP.

Gallegos has a $2.41 million salary this year.

He was eligible for salary arbitration and is potentially eligible for free agency after the 2024 season.