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‘One million percent’ chance Aroldis Champan will opt-out

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Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports that there is a “one million percent” chance Yankees closer Aroldis Chapman will opt out once the season ends.

Just going by the math this makes perfect sense, of course.

Chapman signed a five-year, $86 million deal with the Yankees before the 2017 season. Pursuant to the terms of the deal he’ll make $15 million a year in 2020 and 2021 (he was given an $11 million signing bonus that was finished being paid out last year). This past season the qualifying offer was $17.9 million. Craig Kimbrel of the Cubs just signed a deal that will pay him $16 million in 2020, 2021, and 2022 (he’s making a prorated $16 million this year). Other top closer salaries at the moment include Kenley Jansen ($19,333,334); and Wade Davis ($18 million).

It’s fair to say that Chapman fits into that group and, I think it’s safe to say, more teams would take him than those guys if they were all freely available. As such, Chapman opting out to get more money makes all kinds of sense. Heck, opting out, getting slapped with a qualifying offer, accepting it and then hitting the market unencumbered after the 2020 season would stand him in better financial stead than if he didn’t opt-out in the first place.

The question is whether the Yankees will let it get that far or whether they’ll approach him to renegotiate the final couple of years on the deal or to add some years onto the back of it. If they’re smart they will.

Carlos Correa likely headed to injured list again

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Per MLB.com’s Brian McTaggart, Astros manager A.J. Hinch said shortstop Carlos Correa will likely be placed on the 10-day injured list due to a back injury. Correa exited Monday’s game against the Tigers after two innings due to the back issue.

Correa, 24, missed two months between May 26 and July 26 due to a broken rib. Back issues aren’t anything new to him either, as he missed time last year with back issues as well. This season, the shortstop is batting .278/.358/.556 with 19 home runs and 56 RBI in 310 plate appearances.

Alex Bregman handled shortstop for a majority of the time Correa was out earlier this year, shifting over from third base. That could once again be the case going forward, with Yuli Gurriel taking over at the hot corner.