Carl Edwards Jr.
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Cubs to option Carl Edwards Jr. to Triple-A

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Cubs right-handed reliever Carl Edwards Jr. has been demoted to Triple-A Iowa, per multiple reports on Saturday. While surprising, it’s not a wholly unexpected move from a club nursing a six-game losing streak. The last game the Cubs won was their road opener in Texas on March 28, and their 1-6 record already points to a disturbing forecast for the rest of their 2019 campaign.

Part of their troubles can be traced back to their pitching staff; per FanGraphs, the Cubs rank second-worst in the league with an 8.32 ERA, 7.01 FIP, and -1.0 fWAR through their last seven games. Edwards, too, has struggled to replicate the low ERA and high strikeout numbers that have characterized his last few seasons with the team. So far, he’s given up six runs on three hits and five walks over his first four performances in 2019.

As of Saturday afternoon, the Cubs have yet to officially confirm the demotion or announce any corresponding moves, though southpaw Mike Montgomery is reportedly headed for the injured list with a shoulder issue. Without Edwards, Gordon Wittenmyer of the Chicago Sun Times reports that the team will turn to right-hander Allen Webster and lefty Kyle Ryan for their Saturday matchup with the Brewers. Neither Webster nor Allen has recorded more than two innings of work with Triple-A Iowa this season.

Mariners agree to a six-year contract with prospect Evan White

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This is a rare one: the Mariners have signed first base prospect Evan White — a player who has yet to play a game above Double-A — to a six-year, $24 million contract. The deal has three club options as well that, if exercised, could make it max out at $55.5 million over nine years.

White was the M’s first round pick in the 2017 draft, going 17th overall out of the University of Kentucky. In 2019 he played at Double-A Arkansas in the Texas League, hitting .293/.350/.488 with 18 home runs, striking out 92 times and walking 29 times in 92 games. It’s a good line in a league that is pretty pitcher-friendly. Stuart also reportedly plays excellent defense at first base.

Clearly the Mariners consider White a part of their future, but unless White flames out early in his career, he’s leaving a lot of potential money on the table.

White turns 24 early next season, which means that, even if he begins the 2020 season in the majors, starting his major league service time clock on Opening Day, he wouldn’t reach free agency until he’s poised to begin his age-33 season, assuming the Mariners exercise those options. If the Mariners place him in Triple A for anything beyond a couple of weeks to start next season, that changes to his age-34 season. A full year of Triple-A action and even some modest service time manipulation by the M’s in 2021 would put it off even longer.

At the same time, a team is unlikely to want to pay a guy millions to toil in the minors — and the M’s are guaranteeing themselves as many as nine years of White’s services — so the threat of service time manipulation is greatly reduced. Which means that, if he hits, he plays. Of course, if he hits well and continues to do so, the Mariners will have a considerable bargain on their hands, with a potential franchise cornerstone locked up at an average of $6 million and change a year for nearly a decade.

As we’ve noted so often when discussing extensions with young players, that’s the tradeoff. After today, White could hit like Mario Mendoza, field like Dick Stuart and be drummed out of baseball before he’s 30 and, assuming he’s even moderately sensible, still have enough money to set himself up for life. If he turns into a real star he’ll make less than half of what he’s worth in his career. His alternative: wait at least four years and maybe five to reach arbitration and three more after that until he can be a free agent. Assuming arbitration and free agency exist after the current Collective Bargaining Agreement expires in 2021.

So, let’s check back in a few years before passing ultimate judgment.