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Bryce Harper, Jesus Aguilar and Max Muncy highlight the Home Run Derby bracket

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I don’t much care about the Home Run Derby, but I talk about it whenever possible if for no other reason than to remind people that I perfectly predicted last year’s Derby, matchup-by-matchup, including a first round upset. I’m usually wrong about everything, but that’s one I’m never gonna let people forget about.

I doubt I’ll have such luck, er, I mean insight this year, but it’s worth a shot. I’ll give it a couple of days before I pick who I think will win, but for now know that this is how the 2018 Home Run Derby is gonna go down:

I haven’t seen the odds yet, but I suspect Harper and Aguilar will be favorites to meet in the final. I also figure that the folks behind it all will be pushing a Max Muncy narrative hard. There’s a lot of storyline to this stuff.

Anyway, we’ll give our predictions before it tees off on Monday night.

Report: Padres have discussed trading Wil Myers for Mariners’ Jean Segura and Mike Leake

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Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports that the Padres have discussed with the Mariners a potential trade in which outfielder Wil Myers would head to Seattle in exchange for shortstop Jean Segura and starter Mike Leake. Leake would need to waive his no-trade clause in order to make the deal work.

Myers has four years and $64 million remaining on his contract with a $20 million club option for 2023 as well. Segura has four years and $58 million remaining with a $17 million club option for 2023. Leake is under contract for two more years with $36 million remaining as well as an $18 million mutual option for 2021.

This past season, Myers battled elbow, oblique, and foot injuries last season, limiting him to 83 games and 343 plate appearances. He hit .253/.318/.446 with 11 home runs, 39 RBI, 39 runs scored, and 13 stolen bases. Myers played all over the field for the Padres, spending time at third base and both outfield corners as well as first base and a brief inning in center. If Myers were to go to Seattle, he would likely handle first base on a full-time basis.

2018 marked an All-Star campaign for Segura, who hit .304/.341/.415 with 10 home runs, 63 RBI, 91 runs scored, and 20 stolen bases in 632 plate appearances. Baseball Reference tallies him at 13 WAR over the last three seasons, so he would certainly be an impact player for the Padres. Rosenthal suggests Segura could handle shortstop for the Padres until top prospect Fernando Tatis, Jr. is ready. Segura would then move to second base. Alternatively, Tatis could potentially move to third base.

Leake, 31, is essentially a throw-in player in the deal. This past season, the right-hander put up middling numbers, finishing 10-10 with a 4.36 ERA and a 119/34 K/BB ratio in 185 2/3 innings. He would have no problem slotting into the Padres’ rotation.

Rosenthal takes care to point out that this suggested deal is not believed to be close, but it is notable that such a swap is being considered. On Monday, the Mariners traded starter James Paxton to the Yankees. The Mariners are believed to be setting their sights further down the line to be competitive. It could become a full-blown rebuilding effort. It’s a shame because the Mariners had a solid 2018, finishing 89-73, but they finished 14 games behind the Astros and were even eight games behind the second-place Athletics. The way front offices approach competing these days, finishing above .500 but out of the postseason isn’t good enough.