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Opening Day 2018: Our Predictions

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By now I don’t need to tell you how silly it is to predict the outcome of a baseball season in which over 2,400 baseball games are played by over a thousand players, all of whom are subject to injury and/or wild variation from past performance or reasonable expectations. Baseball is freakin’ chaos, my friends. And while that is one of the top things to recommend it, it’s also the thing that makes predicting its outcomes a fool’s errand.

Let no one say that Bill, Ashley and I aren’t fools. We’re gonna make our picks anyway, because that’s what we do:

BILL’S PREDICTIONS

AL East: Yankees
AL Central: Indians
AL West: Astros
AL Wild Cards: Red Sox, Angels

NL East: Nationals
NL Central: Cubs
NL West: Dodgers
NL Wild Cards: Cardinals, Diamondbacks

ALCS: Yankees vs. Astros
NLCS: Nationals vs. Dodgers

World Series: Yankees vs. Nationals, Yankees win in 6 games

AL MVP: Mike Trout
NL MVP: Anthony Rendon

AL CYA: Luis Severino
NL CYA: Clayton Kershaw

AL ROY: Willie Calhoun
NL ROY: Ronald Acuna

AL Manager of the Year: Aaron Boone
NL Manager of the Year: Dave Martinez

 

ASHLEY’S PREDICTIONS

AL East: Yankees
AL Central: Indians
AL West: Astros
AL Wild Cards: Twins, Mariners

NL East: Nationals
NL Central: Cubs
NL West: Dodgers
NL Wild Cards: Mets, Cardinals

ALCS: Yankees vs. Indians
NLCS: Dodgers vs. Nationals

World Series: Yankees vs. Nationals, Nationals win in 7 games

AL MVP: Giancarlo Stanton
NL MVP: Kris Bryant

AL CYA: Chris Sale
NL CYA: Clayton Kershaw

AL ROY: Eloy Jimenez
NL ROY: Ronald Acuna

AL Manager of the Year: Aaron Boone
NL Manager of the Year: Mickey Callaway

 

CRAIG’S PREDICTIONS

AL East: Yankees
AL Central: Indians
AL West: Astros
AL Wild Cards: Red Sox, Angels

NL East: Nationals
NL Central: Cubs
NL West: Dodgers
NL Wild Cards: Brewers, Cardinals

ALCS: Yankees vs. Astros
NLCS: Cubs vs. Nationals

World Series: Yankees vs. Cubs, Yankees win in 6 games

AL MVP: Mike Trout
NL MVP: Bryce Harper

AL CYA: Justin Verlander
NL CYA: Clayton Kershaw

AL ROY: Francisco Mejia
NL ROY: Ronald Acuna

AL Manager of the Year: Aaron Boone
NL Manager of the Year: Craig Counsell

MLB and MLBPA announce first set of COVID-19 test results

MLB COVID-19 test results
FREDERIC J. BROWN/AFP via Getty Images
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On Friday evening, Major League Baseball and the MLB Players Association announced the first set of results for COVID-19 testing as part of the mandatory intake screening process under MLB’s COVID-19 Health Monitoring & Testing Plan. Per Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle, the Athletics are not part of this data because their testing has not yet been completed.

There were 38 positive tests, accounting for 1.2% of the 3,185 samples collected and tested. 31 of the 38 individuals who tested positive are players. 19 different teams had one or more individuals test positive.

Sports Illustrated’s Emma Baccellieri notes that the positive test rate in the U.S. nationally is 8.3 percent. The NBA’s positive test rate was 7.1 percent. MLB’s positive test rate is well below average. This doesn’t necessarily mean that anything is wrong with MLB’s testing or that it’s an atypical round of testing. Rather, MLB’s testing population may more closely represent the U.S. population as a whole. Currently, because testing is still somewhat limited, those who have taken tests have tended to be those exhibiting symptoms or those who have been around others who have tested positive. If every single person in the U.S. took a test, the positive test rate would likely come in at a much lower number.

Several players who tested positive have given their consent for their identities to be made known. Those are: Delino DeShields (link), Brett Martin (link), Edward Colina, Nick Gordon, and Willians Astudillo (link). Additionally, Red Sox lefty Eduardo Rodríguez has not shown up to Red Sox camp yet because he has been around someone who tested positive, per The Athletic’s Jen McCaffrey.