Rays expected to extend qualifying offer to Alex Cobb

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The Rays are expected to make a $17.4 million qualifying offer to starter Alex Cobb, Jon Heyman of FanRag Sports reports.

Cobb, 30, is eligible for free agency. This past season, he went 12-10 with a 3.66 ERA and a 128/44 K/BB ratio in 179 1/3 innings. The right-hander missed the entire 2015 season and didn’t debut in 2016 until September 2 due to Tommy John surgery.

Despite the history of arm trouble, Cobb is among the best pitchers expected to hit the free agent market along with Yu Darvish, Jake Arrieta, and Lance Lynn.

The latest collective bargaining agreement amended some of the rules in the qualifying offer system. Compensation for players who rejected a qualifying offer now depends on whether or not a team receives money from revenue sharing, the previous team’s market size, whether or not the previous team went over the luxury tax threshold, and whether or not the player’s new contract is under $50 million.

Generally speaking, a team losing a player who rejected a QO to free agency will receive a draft pick in compensation Round B. If that team paid the luxury tax, their compensation will instead come after the fourth round. If that team received revenue sharing money and the free agent signed a contract worth $50 million or more, that team will receive a draft pick coming after the first round.

Furthermore, teams signing players who rejected a QO pay less of a penalty which is a bit of a boon to free agents’ value. Whereas those teams may have had to give up a first round pick previously, they will now give up draft picks after their first in the first round and/or competitive balance picks. Teams that exceeded the luxury tax relinquish their second- and fifth-round picks as well as $1 million from their international bonus pool as compensation for signing a player who rejected a QO. A team that receives revenue sharing would lose its third-highest draft pick. Should that team sign multiple QO-rejecting players, it would surrender its fourth-highest pick. A team that exceeded the luxury tax and does not receive revenue sharing will lose its second-highest draft pick plus $500,000 from international money. If that team signs multiple such players, it gives up its third-highest pick as well.

It’s complicated — perhaps unnecessarily so — but it’s the system we’ve got right now and it’s the one Cobb and others will deal with this offseason. We’ll have more updates in the coming days as word gets out about teams’ willingness to make qualifying offers to their impending free agents.

Shohei Ohtani agrees to $30 million deal for 2023 with Angels

Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports
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ANAHEIM, Calif. — Shohei Ohtani agreed to a $30 million deal with the Los Angeles Angels for the 2023 season in the two-way superstar’s final year of arbitration eligibility before free agency.

The Angels announced the deal, avoiding a potentially complicated arbitration case with the 2021 AL MVP.

Ohtani’s deal is fully guaranteed, with no other provisions. The contract is the largest ever given to an arbitration-eligible player, surpassing the $27 million given to Mookie Betts by the Boston Red Sox in January 2020, a month before he was traded to the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Ohtani is having another incredible season at the plate and on the mound for the Angels, regularly accomplishing feats that haven’t occurred in the major leagues since Babe Ruth’s heyday. He is a strong contender for the AL MVP award again alongside the Yankees’ Aaron Judge, who has tied the AL home run record and is closing in on the batting Triple Crown.

Ohtani is batting .276 with 34 homers, 94 RBIs and a .888 OPS as the Halos’ designated hitter. He is 15-8 with a 2.35 ERA and 213 strikeouts as their ace on the mound, and opponents are batting only .207 against him.

The 28-year-old Ohtani still will be a free agent after the 2023 season, and his future could be tied to the immediate fortunes of the Angels, who will complete their seventh consecutive losing season next week. The Angels didn’t trade Ohtani at the deadline despite being out of the playoff race again, and Ohtani is wildly popular among the club’s fans.

Ohtani repeatedly has said winning will be an important factor in choosing his home beyond 2023, and Angels owner Arte Moreno is currently exploring a sale of the team.

Moreno’s leadership has been widely criticized during the Angels’ mostly miserable run of play since 2009, and a fresh start with deep-pocketed new owners could be the best chance to persuade Ohtani to stay with the franchise he joined in 2018 from Japan. Ohtani immediately won the AL Rookie of the Year award, and he rounded into unique form last season after recovering fully from Tommy John surgery.