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Nolan Ryan: “The worst thing a hitter can do is strike out”

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Are strikeouts the worst outcome for a hitter? Hall of Fame pitcher Nolan Ryan seems to think so.

In an interview with MLB.com’s Tracy Ringolsby, Ryan spoke to the command and finesse required to strike out a major league batter, citing standout performers like Clayton Kershaw and Steve Carlton for their ability to catch a hitter swinging with an array of breaking balls. While strikeouts are the calling card of the pitching elite, Ryan also believes that being on the receiving end of one is the least productive play a hitter can make:

I am a believer that the worst thing a hitter can do is strikeout [sic]. A lot of computer guys say it isn’t. The way I look at it, if you don’t put the ball in play there is no chance of doing anything. There’s no hitter. There’s no error. There’s no advancing a runner.

At a glance, Ryan’s logic appears to hold water. Striking out, whether it comes on a called strike three versus Steven Wright’s knuckleball or a whiff on a Felix Hernandez change-up, is certainly not a desirable outcome for any hitter. A batter that doesn’t put the ball in play doesn’t get the opportunity to make a hit or a productive out. On the flip side, a strikeout produces one out, whereas a ball put in play has the potential to produce multiple outs.

In Tom Tango’s comprehensive table of run values, found at InsideTheBook.com, each event is assigned a run value that encapsulates its ability to generate runs or restrict them. A strikeout looking is estimated to be the 38th least-valuable outcome in a game, while a swinging strikeout generates the 42nd least-valuable outcome. The most valuable event by run value, unsurprisingly, is a home run.

If we narrow the list of game events to those under a batter’s control, there are still several plays less productive than whiffing at the plate: line drive, infield fly, grounded into double play (with slight deviations for a non-force double play, double play without grounding out, and fielder’s choice double play) and triple play.

Granted, triple plays are also among the rarest events in baseball. Since 1876, there have been just 708 recorded among all major league teams. Grounding into double plays, however, is far more common, and holds a negative run value of -0.85, several points lower than the negative run value of a called strikeout at -0.28 and a swinging strikeout at -0.30.

Striking out at the plate might be one of the more demoralizing plays a batter can make (says the person who routinely struck out swinging at slow-pitch softball), but contrary to what Nolan Ryan may believe, it’s not nearly the worst thing he can do.

Will fans be allowed to attend MLB playoff games?

The MLB Playoffs are underway!
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After a condensed 60-game regular season, the MLB playoffs kicked off this week with an usual 16-team format that you can read more about below, but one of the many questions on everyone’s mind is whether or not fans will be allowed to attend MLB playoff games.

Will fans be allowed to go to MLB playoff games?

There have been no spectators at any games this season but fans will finally have the opportunity to go to the NL Championship Series and World Series at new Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas–one of the few states allowing spectators to attend events this year. The NLCS is scheduled on seven straight days from Oct. 12-18 and the World Series from Oct. 20-28, with traditional off days between Games 2 and 3 and Games 5 and 6, if the Series goes that far. Major League Baseball said Wednesday that about 11,500 tickets will be available for each game.

Below is the format and locations for each round. Unlike the regular season, there will be a bubble setup for each series in the postseason with the exception of the Wild Card round. Click here for the MLB schedule and scoreboard.

MLB Playoffs Format

Wild Card Series (Best-of-three): September 29 – October 2

All games will be held at the higher seed’s ball park.

American League

No. 1 Rays vs. No. 8 Blue Jays
No. 2 Athletics vs. No. 7 White Sox
No. 3 Twins vs. No. 6 Astros
No. 4 Cleveland vs. No. 5 Yankees

National League

No. 1 Dodgers vs. No. 8 Brewers
No. 2 Braves vs. No. 7 Reds
No. 3 Cubs vs. No. 6 Marlins
No. 4 Padres vs. No. 5 Cardinals

Division Series (Best-of-five): October 5 -10

The American League Division Series will be contested at Petco Park in San Diego and Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles. The National League Division Series will be held at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas and Minute Maid Park in Houston.

League Championship Series (Best-of-seven): October 11-18

The American League Championship Series will be held at Petco Park in San Diego while the National League Championship Series will take place at Globe Life Field in Arlington.

World Series (Best-of-seven): October 20-28

The World Series will be held at Globe Life Field in Arlington. Home field advantage will go to the team with the best regular-season record.

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