Getty Images

Nolan Ryan: “The worst thing a hitter can do is strike out”

35 Comments

Are strikeouts the worst outcome for a hitter? Hall of Fame pitcher Nolan Ryan seems to think so.

In an interview with MLB.com’s Tracy Ringolsby, Ryan spoke to the command and finesse required to strike out a major league batter, citing standout performers like Clayton Kershaw and Steve Carlton for their ability to catch a hitter swinging with an array of breaking balls. While strikeouts are the calling card of the pitching elite, Ryan also believes that being on the receiving end of one is the least productive play a hitter can make:

I am a believer that the worst thing a hitter can do is strikeout [sic]. A lot of computer guys say it isn’t. The way I look at it, if you don’t put the ball in play there is no chance of doing anything. There’s no hitter. There’s no error. There’s no advancing a runner.

At a glance, Ryan’s logic appears to hold water. Striking out, whether it comes on a called strike three versus Steven Wright’s knuckleball or a whiff on a Felix Hernandez change-up, is certainly not a desirable outcome for any hitter. A batter that doesn’t put the ball in play doesn’t get the opportunity to make a hit or a productive out. On the flip side, a strikeout produces one out, whereas a ball put in play has the potential to produce multiple outs.

In Tom Tango’s comprehensive table of run values, found at InsideTheBook.com, each event is assigned a run value that encapsulates its ability to generate runs or restrict them. A strikeout looking is estimated to be the 38th least-valuable outcome in a game, while a swinging strikeout generates the 42nd least-valuable outcome. The most valuable event by run value, unsurprisingly, is a home run.

If we narrow the list of game events to those under a batter’s control, there are still several plays less productive than whiffing at the plate: line drive, infield fly, grounded into double play (with slight deviations for a non-force double play, double play without grounding out, and fielder’s choice double play) and triple play.

Granted, triple plays are also among the rarest events in baseball. Since 1876, there have been just 708 recorded among all major league teams. Grounding into double plays, however, is far more common, and holds a negative run value of -0.85, several points lower than the negative run value of a called strikeout at -0.28 and a swinging strikeout at -0.30.

Striking out at the plate might be one of the more demoralizing plays a batter can make (says the person who routinely struck out swinging at slow-pitch softball), but contrary to what Nolan Ryan may believe, it’s not nearly the worst thing he can do.

Brewers have 3 positive COVID tests at alternate site

Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
1 Comment

MILWAUKEE — The Brewers had two players and a staff member test positive for the coronavirus at their alternate training site in Appleton, Wisconsin.

Milwaukee president of baseball operations David Stearns confirmed the positive results Saturday and said they shouldn’t impact the major league team. Teams are using alternate training sites this season to keep reserve players sharp because the minor league season was canceled due to the pandemic.

Stearns said the positive tests came Monday and did not name the two players or the staff member. Players must give their permission for their names to be revealed after positive tests.

The entire camp was placed in quarantine.

“We have gone through contact tracing,” Stearns said. “We do not believe it will have any impact at all on our major league team. We’ve been fortunate to get through this season relatively unscathed in this area. Unfortunately, we weren’t able to get all the way there at our alternate site.”

Milwaukee entered Saturday one game behind the Reds and Cardinals for second place in the NL Central, with the top two teams qualifying for the postseason.

The Brewers still will be able to take taxi squad players with them on the team’s trip to Cincinnati and St. Louis in the final week of the season. He said those players have had repeated negative tests and the team is “confident” there would be no possible spread of the virus.

“Because of the nature of who these individuals were, it’s really not going to affect the quarantine group at all,” Stearns said. “We’re very fortunate that the group of players who could potentially be on a postseason roster for us aren’t interacting all that much with the individuals that tested positive.”