If you’re betting on the Home Run Derby you probably need to reexamine your life choices. But if you reexamine them and nonetheless decide that you need to bet on the Home Run Derby, here are the current odds being offered:
Todd Frazier: 7/2
Kris Bryant: 5/1
Prince Fielder: 11/2
Albert Pujols: 6/1
Anthony Rizzo: 13/2
Josh Donaldson: 7/1
Joc Pederson: 7/1
Manny Machado: 7/1
I feel like the oddsmakers are selling Joc Pederson short. He may be struggling at the plate now, but he has a crazy big swing and power. Given that people are going to be throwing him 40 m.p.h. meatballs, I feel like he’ll do some damage. And Prince Fielder has won the dang thing a couple of times. I wouldn’t be shocked if he put one in the Ohio River.
Still: I agree, Frazier is the man the beat. His home park and all of his shots are bombs.
Pirates outfielder Starling Marte was hit on the hand by a Jack Flaherty pitch in the fourth inning of Tuesday night’s game against the Cardinals. Rather than take first base, Marte — who came to the plate with a runner on first base — insisted to home plate umpire Bruce Dreckman that the ball hit the knob of the bat, not his hand. Marte was allowed to continue his at-bat, though manager Clint Hurdle came out to discuss the ruling with Dreckman. Marte eventually grounded into a fielder’s choice. He then got caught attempting to steal second base and the Pirates scored zero runs in the inning.
According to Baseball Prospectus, a team that has runners on first and second with no outs is expected to score 1.55 runs. Having a runner on first base with one out yields 0.56 expected runs. Marte essentially cost his team a run by rejecting first base. Oops.