Fourth inning of NLCS Game 2 full of questionable managerial decisions

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The Cardinals added an insurance run in the bottom of the fourth inning against Giants starter Jake Peavy, but that wasn’t the most interesting part of the frame. Matt Adams led off with a walk and Jhonny Peralta followed up with a single, which set the strategy in motion.

Decision 1: Cardinals manager Mike Matheny has Yadier Molina drop down a sacrifice bunt.

According to Baseball Prospectus, one’s run expectancy is lowered slightly going from runners on first and second with no outs to runners on second and third with one out. It’s defensible if you have the pitcher batting or an otherwise very weak hitter in front of a much better hitter. In this case, it’s Yadier Molina batting sixth in front of Kolten Wong.

Decision 2: Giants manager Bruce Bochy has starter Jake Peavy intentionally walk Wong to face right-handed hitter Randal Grichuk.

Ostensibly, Bochy called for the intentional walk to set up a force at every base as well as several inning-ending double play opportunities. Furthermore, Peavy has the platoon advantage against the same-handed Grichuk. On the other hand, putting a runner on base for free sets up the possibility of an irredeemably big inning. Fortunately for the Giants, Grichuk only singled to push across one run.

Decision 3: Matheny allowed starter Lance Lynn to hit for himself with runners on second and third with one out.

Yes, Lynn has had a fantastic season. Yes, Lynn was only at 62 pitches through four innings. But sending up a pinch-hitter (perhaps left-handed-hitting top prospect Oscar Taveras) opens up the possibility for the Cardinals to break the game open. Lynn, to his credit, hit a fly ball to right field, but it wasn’t deep enough to bring another run home.

Decision 4: Bochy allowed Jake Peavy to pitch to Matt Carpenter with runners on second and third and two outs with left-handed reliever Javier Lopez warming up in the bullpen.

Both teams have a day off on Monday, so reaching into the bullpen a little early isn’t as detrimental as it might have been in Game 1. Still, Bochy let the struggling Peavy pitch to the left-handed-hitting Carpenter — who slugged a home run against him in the previous inning — in a key moment in the game. Peavy was at 73 pitches and was laboring, and he wouldn’t have the platoon advantage against Carpenter. Fortunately for the Giants, Carpenter flied out to center field to end the game.

It will be interesting to see if these decisions wind up having an effect later on in the game. We’re now in the bottom of the fifth inning with the Cardinals ahead 2-1.

MLBPA: MLB’s ‘demand for additional concessions was resoundingly rejected’

Rob Manfred and Tony Clark
LG Patterson/MLB via Getty Images
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On Thursday evening, the Major League Baseball Players Association released a statement regarding ongoing negotiations between the owners and the union. The two sides continue to hash out details concerning a 2020 season. The owners want a shorter season, around 50 games. The union recently proposed a 114-game season that also offered the possibility of salary deferrals.

MLBPA executive director Tony Clark said that the union held a conference call that included the Executive Board and MLBPA player leaders. They “resoundingly rejected” the league’s “demand for additional concessions.”

The full statement:

In this time of unprecedented suffering at home and abroad, Players want nothing more than to get back to work and provide baseball fans with the game we all love. But we cannot do this alone.

Earlier this week, Major League Baseball communicated its intention to schedule a dramatically shortened 2020 season unless Players negotiate salary concessions. The concessions being sought are in addition to billions in Player salary reductions that have already been agreed upon.

This threat came in response to an Association proposal aimed at charting a path forward. Among other things, Players proposed more games, two years of expanded playoffs, salary deferrals in the event of a 2020 playoff cancellation, and the exploration of additional jewel events and broadcast enhancements aimed at creatively bringing our Players to the fans while simultaneously increasing the value of our product. Rather than engage, the league replied it will shorten the season unless Players agree to further salary reductions.

Earlier today we held a conference call of the Association’s Executive Board and several other MLBPA Player leaders. The overwhelming consensus of the Board is that Players are ready to report, ready to get back on the field, and they are willing to do so under unprecedented conditions that could affect the health and safety of not just themselves, but their families as well. The league’s demand for additional concessions was resoundingly rejected.

Important work remains to be done in order to safely resume the season. We stand ready to complete that work and look forward to getting back on the field.

As per the current agreement signed in March, if there is a 2020 season, players will be paid on a prorated basis. Thus, fewer games means the players get paid less and the owners save more. MLB has threatened to unilaterally set a 2020 season in motion if the two sides cannot come to terms. It should come as no surprise that the union has responded strongly on both fronts.

There have been varying reports in recent days over the confidence in a 2020 season happening. The MLBPA’s statement tonight doesn’t move the needle any; it simply affirms that the union remains steadfast in its goal to avoid a second significant cut in salaries.

As I see it, the ball is in the owners’ court. The owners can strongarm the players into a short season, saving money but significantly increasing the odds of a big fight in upcoming collective bargaining agreement negotiations. Or the owners can eat more of a financial loss, agreeing to a longer season than they feel is comfortable. The latter would have the double benefit of not damaging overall perception of the sport and would not disrupt labor peace going forward.

The MLBPA statement included a declaration that the players are “ready to report, ready to get back on the field, and they are willing to do so under unprecedented conditions.” If there is no 2020 season, we will have only the owners to blame, not the players.

Update: Cardinals pitcher Jack Flaherty, who has been quite vocal on social media about these negotiations, chimed in: