Chris Jaffe predicts four Hall of Fame inductees

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There’s nothing else to do between now and Wednesday’s Hall of Fame announcement other than talk about the weather and I’m already sick of that, so let’s look at another Hall of Fame projection.

We’ve seen Bill Deane’s projection of Greg Maddux and no one else. We’ve been watching Repoz’s Gizmo tracking the public ballots. Now comes The Hardball Times’ Chris Jaffe, who each year projects the exact percentage of the vote each candidate gets. He’s pretty good at it. He’s made 96 individual candidate predictions since he started doing this and he has been within five percentage points 79 times. His margin for error is 3.5 percent.

This year he thinks four guys are getting above 75 percent — Greg Maddux, Tom Glavine, Frank Thomas and Craig Biggio. Biggio is only at 76% though, so he’s within Jaffe’s margin of error.

More than just the predictions, however, I think Jaffe’s column is interesting for the conversation of the factors which go into vote totals, ranging from the overall strength of the ballot to dynamics connected with how long each guy has been on the ballot and late-eligibility surges and whatnot. Good stuff.

Video: Zack Greinke homers off of Clayton Kershaw

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Diamondbacks starter Zack Greinke continued to swing a good stick, belting his third homer of the season on Monday night against the Dodgers. With the game tied 3-3 in the second inning, Greinke lined a 1-1 Clayton Kershaw fastball over the fence in left field for a solo homer.

Greinke is the third pitcher to homer off of Kershaw, joining Madison Bumgarner and Tyson Ross. He’s No. 4 if you count Brandon Woodruff‘s home run in Game 1 of the NLCS last year. Greinke now has three homers on the season, setting a career-high. He’s batting .314/.351/.686 with six RBI, seven runs scored, and a stolen base along with the trio of dingers. Absurd numbers from a pitcher.