Stat tweet of the morning for you all. After the Orioles were otherwordly in one-run games (and extra inning games) last year …
The Orioles have baseball’s worst record in one-run games this season, at 16-26 (.381)
— Joe Lemire (@SI_JoeLemire) September 12, 2013
Which is obvious if you believe and understand most of what we know about one-run games: they tend to go either way and having a lights-out bullpen will give you an edge. Relievers not named Rivera and Kimbrel have a lot of one-year variance. The ball bounces one way this year and the other way next year.
I just seem to remember a lot of Orioles fans getting really, really upset last season if you dared suggest that the O’s record in one-run games was due to luck or a fluke or was otherwise not-sustainable. And I wonder what those folks think now.