Dave Cameron has a good argument for moving the trade deadline back over at FanGraphs. Read it all for the costs and benefits, but the upshot is that with two wild cards there are a LOT of teams who still think they’re in contention in mid-to-late July, thus making it really hard for them to pull the trigger to make moves that might make a lot of sense even a few weeks later.
If the trade deadline isn’t moved, I feel like that’s a new place for very brave GMs to gain an edge. Being the first guy of a maybe-contending team to realize that, nope, it’s not happening and trying to make deals. Obviously that’s hard politically — if you’re only a few games back fans will think you’re a contender whether you truly are or not — but it seems like being the first one to market with a real trade chit like the Cubs were yesterday did them a lot of good.