At least one person in Miami thinks Ozzie Guillen will keep his job

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Two weeks ago Buster Olney of ESPN.com reported that the Marlins were “aggressively seeking a replacement for Ozzie Guillen” and, while Guillen got into a public spat with Olney, we even started speculating about where he might land post-firing.

Everything on the Guillen front has been calm since then and now Clark Spencer of the Miami Herald writes that he expects Guillen to remain the Marlins’ manager next season.

Though I have nothing concrete on which to base this on, it is my belief that as more time passes, the greater the likelihood Guillen keeps his job. Some others I’ve spoken with share the same sense. The rest of the coaching staff is another story, and I would not be surprised to see changes made there. Coaches are under contract only through the end of this month.

Guillen has three years remaining on his contract (to the tune of $7.5 million) and ditching him after one season might raise more questions about Loria’s acumen in hiring managers than it would Guillen’s ability to successfully manage a team. It becomes much more an indictment of Loria than it does of Guillen.

That sounds about right. Jeffrey Loria has gone through a ton of managers over the years, less than 12 months ago he thought Guillen was worth a four-year, $10 million commitment, and it’s not like Guillen’s behavior this season should have come as a huge shock to anyone who was paying attention during his eight years with the White Sox.

Jesús Aguilar, Brian Goodwin, and Aledmys Díaz win arbitration cases

Jesús Aguilar
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ESPN’s Jeff Passan reports that the players picked up three arbitration victories thanks to Jesús Aguilar, Brian Goodwin, and Aledmys Díaz. Each player was arbitration-eligible for the first time.

The players have now won four of 10 arbitration cases thus far. Historically, teams have won the majority of arbitration cases and that continues to be the case this year. However, at least today’s results move the needle back towards the middle.

Aguilar filed for $2.575 million while the Marlins countered at $2.325 million.

Goodwin filed for $2.2 million; the Angels $1.85 million.

Díaz $2.6 million, Astros $2 million.

There are three arbitration cases remaining, two of which belong to the Phillies (J.T. Realmuto, Héctor Neris). The Diamondbacks have the other with Archie Bradley.