Nick Swisher is going to seek a “Jayson Werth” deal? Good luck with that.

30 Comments

Jon Heyman hears whispers about the free agency future of Nick Swisher:

Word going around is, Nick Swisher, the Yankees’ eternally upbeat rightfield power supply, may seek a “Jayson Werth contract” when he hits free agency at the end of the year.

To baseball fans, that is well-known to mean $126 million over seven years. In other words, it’s a lot more money than most folks have guessed so far for Swish.

I’d be quite curious to see who would give him that kind of deal. Scanning the horizon, I see approximately zero teams who think the Werth deal was a good one. Swisher, like Werth before he signed with the Nats after the 2010 season, turns 32 soon. But he never had a year as good as Werth’s walk year in 2010 and  he doesn’t have Werth’s defensive value.

Heyman looks over the numbers and notes, correctly, the similarity between the two players. He even asks some execs about it.  But the numbers seem to tell us way less here, mostly because Jayson Werth is widely seen to have been massively overpaid by the Nationals.

So good luck, Swish. But I see, at best, a $40-50 million deal in your future.