This isn’t the time for Cubs to commit to Starlin Castro

26 Comments

Word came down from CSNChicago.com’s David Kaplan last night that the Cubs were working on a long-term deal with Starlin Castro said to be for six years or more.

A six-year extension running from 2013-18 would buy out all of Castro’s arbitration seasons and his first two-years of free agency. One would imagine it’d come in somewhere in the $45 million-$50 million range (Andrew McCutchen had the same amount of service time when he got $51.5 million for six years this spring), and even at that lofty price tag, there’s a good chance it’d save the Cubs some money in the long run.

I still don’t think it’s the right move, not when Castro still hasn’t come close to making the most of his talent.

The fact that Castro has yet to become a star at age 22 isn’t damning in itself. But the lack of development is. Castro’s walk rate is down and his strikeout rate is up this year. He’s hitting just .276 after coming in at .300 and .307 in his first two seasons. His homers are up, but his doubles are way down. He’s still a lousy basestealer for all of his speed. His defense has improved, and he’s cut back on the mental errors in the field, but he still makes more than most.

The last thing the Cubs need is a complacent Castro. They need him motivated to become the very best player he can be, and handing him $45 million now seems a pretty lousy way to accomplish that.

Maybe I’m wrong. Perhaps Castro can get his money and still turn into a star anyway. If so, the Cubs might stand to save $10 million per year in 2017 and ’18 by locking him into such a deal now.

The Cubs, though, shouldn’t be worrying too much about their 2017-18 payrolls just yet. I think it’d make more sense to see what happens over the next year. If Castro improves, then it may well cost the team an extra $10 million-$20 million to get an extension done with him then. But at least they’ll have a better idea what they’re paying for.

Justin Turner could be headed back to disabled list

Harry How/Getty Images
Leave a comment

Dodgers third baseman Justin Turner could be headed back to the 10-day disabled list after aggravating a groin injury during Sunday’s game against the Brewers, David Vassegh reports. Turner initially suffered an adductor muscle injury before the All-Star break. He pinch-hit on Saturday and started Sunday afternoon for the first time since July 11. However, he lasted only three innings before exiting the game.

Turner, 33, didn’t make his season debut until May 15 after suffering a non-displaced fracture in his left wrist after being hit by a pitch in a spring training game in mid-March. In 192 plate appearances this season, Turner is hitting .259/.354/.398 with five home runs, 20 RBI, and 21 runs scored.

The Dodgers have been starting Max Muncy at third base in Turner’s place and that figures to be the case should Turner need to go on the disabled list. The club also recently acquired Manny Machado from the Orioles. He could potentially play some third base while Turner is out.