While it was a 19th straight sub-.500 season, the Pirates did finish with their best record since 2004 by going 72-90 last year. They’ve since added two starters to an already much-improved pitching staff. As for the offense, well, they’re just going to have to hope that the incumbents get better.
A.J. Burnett – R
Jeff Karstens – R
Erik Bedard – L
James McDonald – R
Kevin Correia – R
Joel Hanrahan – R
Evan Meek – R
Jason Grilli – R
Chris Resop – R
Daniel McCutchen – R
Daniel Moskos – L
Chris Leroux – R
Disabled list: Charlie Morton (R)
SP next in line: Brad Lincoln (R), Jo-Jo Reyes (L), Jeff Locke (L)
RP next in line: Juan Cruz (R), Doug Slaten (L), Tony Watson (L), Reyes (L), Ryota Igarashi (R), Tim Wood (R)
I’m far from a big believer in Karstens, but that’s a pretty legitimate rotation, particularly if Morton can return from hip surgery in April and push Correia to the pen. I have Burnett, McDonald and Morton all projected with ERAs in the low-4.00s, and Bedard should be able to beat that for however long that he’s healthy.
The bullpen lacks an obvious setup guy for Hanrahan, but Meek could be the answer if he bounces back from last year’s arm woes. There’s also plenty of depth. Grilli, Resop, Leroux and Watson all had really nice strikeout rates in their time with the Pirates last season.
RF Jose Tabata – R
LF Alex Presley – L
CF Andrew McCutchen – R
2B Neil Walker – S
1B Garrett Jones – L
3B Casey McGehee – R
SS Clint Barmes – R
C Rod Barajas – R
C Michael McKenry – R
1B-OF Nick Evans – R
INF Josh Harrison – R
INF Yamaico Navarro – R
OF Nate McLouth – L
Next in line: C Jose Morales (S), C Tony Sanchez (R), C-1B Jake Fox (R), 1B Matt Hague (R), 1B Jeff Clement (L), 3B Pedro Alvarez (L), SS Chase d’Arnaud (R), INF Jordy Mercer (R), OF Gorkys Hernandez (R), OF Starling Marte (R), OF Brandon Boggs (S)
The plan is still for Alvarez to play third base, with McGehee serving at a backup at both corner infield spots. They need to make Alvarez earn it, though, and I’m far from convinced he will. The former No. 2 overall pick hit .191/.272/.289 in 235 at-bats last season, and it’s not like he makes up for it with his glove.
If Alvarez does solidify his job, then the offense would be pretty much set, with only the two utility infield jobs up for grabs.
It was surprising the Pirates limited their outfield additions to McLouth given the injury histories of Tabata and Presley. Of course, they do have the option of moving Jones back to the outfield and going with McGehee at first base.
The offense hinges on the outfield, not only on the health of Tabata and Presley, but in McCutchen playing like he did in the first half of last season, not in the second half. An Alvarez rebound would surely be nice, too, but it’s hard to imagine him being a difference maker this year.
The defense will be improved, but then, that’s what the Pirates were paying for in bringing in likely offensively sinkholes Barmes and Barajas. The outfield should be great. The infield aside from Barmes will remain a problem regardless of whether Alvarez or McGehee starts at third.
This is a Pirates team that could finally crack .500 if some things break right. 160 innings from Bedard and 420 starts from the three primary outfielders would be a good place to start. There isn’t a whole lot of upside beyond that, but the team should be decent for now and there’s a lot of pitching in the pipeline for 2013-14.