Roy Halladay on five days’ rest? Yeah, the Phillies gotta be favored

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I want the record to reflect that I have not trolled Philly fans all day. As a 1990s Braves fan I learned the hard way that awesome rotations aren’t always enough and that six months of brilliance can be erased pretty damn quickly once your depth advantage is reduced due to the nature of playoff baseball. It stinks, but it’s baseball life.

Now, don’t mistake my lack of trolling Philly fans for me rooting for them or something.  I mean, I’m not rooting against them either, but it would certainly make life more interesting around here if Philly lost.  After being informed by so many that the season should have just been suspended and the Phillies named World Series champs the day after the Cliff Lee signing I would certainly look forward to the post-NLDS loss spin should it occur.

That may be academic though.  Why? Because for all of the issues with the offense recently and the anything can happen nature of an elimination game, I keep coming back to one thing. Or one man, really: Roy Halladay. He pitches tonight. And he’s pretty much God when he gets five days of rest, which is what he has now.  Here’s Corey Seidman over at Phillies Nation:

Halladay has made 84 career starts on five days rest. He has a .714 winning percentage in those games and an ERA (2.59) almost one full run better than on normal rest (3.42). An extra-rested Halladay has held opponents to a batting average 22 points lower than usual and a slugging percentage 44 points lower. In such games, his opponents’ OPS is 15 percent worse.

You can’t predict baseball. Especially not playoff baseball.  But for the Cardinals to overcome that tonight, they’re going to have to play out of their minds.