I’ve said that making playoff predictions is a sucker’s game. Anything can happen and anyone who says that the best team from the regular season is a lock to win the World Series is ignorant of recent history. That said, I’m having a hard time seeing who is going to pose a serious challenge to the Phillies.
Roy Halladay dominated the Brewers last night, allowing one run on four hits in eight innings while striking out nine. I suppose it’s possible that he broke a sweat, but they could probably just hang his jersey up in his locker for his next start without laundering it.
Overall, the Phillies have won five straight, with those five coming against two of their three potential playoff opponents, the Braves and Brewers. They also took two of three from Arizona in mid-August. Their season record against all of those teams is a bit more balanced than that, but even if the concept of recency is not a controlling one for purposes of the playoffs, it sure makes a hell of an impression.
Who’s gonna beat ’em? And how?
The Brewers reportedly signed third baseman Mike Moustakas to a one-year, $10 million contract on Sunday. While the deal is not yet official, MLB.com’s Adam McCalvy reports that the Brewers plan to give Moustakas a look at second base during spring training. If all goes well, he will be the primary second baseman and Travis Shaw will stay at third base.
The initial thought was that Moustakas would simply take over at third base for the more versatile Shaw. Moustakas has spent 8,035 of his career defensive innings at third base, 35 innings at first base, and none at second. In fact, he has never played second base as a pro player. Shaw, meanwhile, has spent 268 of his 4,073 1/3 defensive innings in the majors at second base and played there as recently as October.
This is certainly an interesting wrinkle to signing Moustakas, who is a decent third baseman. He was victimized by another slow free agent market, not signing until March last year on a $6.5 million deal with a $15 million mutual option for this season. That option was declined, obviously, and he ended up signing for $5 million cheaper here in February as the Brewers waited him out. Notably, Moustakas did not have qualifying offer compensation attached to him this time around.
Last season, between the Royals and Brewers, the 30-year-old Moustakas hit .251/.315/.459 with 28 home runs and 95 RBI in 635 plate appearances.