Where will Derek Jeter finish on the all-time hits list?

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Upon reaching the milestone Saturday, Derek Jeter became the fourth youngest player to collect 3,000 hits, doing so just a couple of weeks after his 37th birthday on June 26.

Ty Cobb got there at age 34.  Hank Aaron and Robin Yount were 36.  Pete Rose was just a week older than Jeter when he did it.

And, of course, Rose and Cobb are the only members of the 4,000-hit club.  Rose ended his career with 4,256.  Cobb finished at 4,189.  Next on the list is Aaron at 3,771.

So, where will Jeter stand on the all-time list when he’s finished?  He’s currently 27th after overtaking Roberto Clemente, who died having collected exactly 3,000 hits.  With his 5-for-5 day pushing him up to 3,003 hits, he’s just four hits behind Al Kaline for 26th place.

Jeter has 2 1/2 years to go on the three-year, $51 million contract he signed to remain with the Yankees last winter.  Over the last 2 1/2 years, he has 461 hits.  That, however, is going to be a hard total to match over the remainder of his contract.

So, let’s figure it out.

The Yankees have 74 games left this season.  Let’s say Jeter plays in 68 of them.  Jeter has averaged 1.27 hits per game over the course of his career, but only 1.16 this season.  I’ll split the difference and give him 1.21 hits per game over the rest of the season.

That gives Jeter 82 more hits and puts him at 3,085 entering 2012.

From there, who really knows?  Some Yankees fans have talked about wanting Jeter to retire after the season because of his diminished production.  No one really thinks that’s going to happen, though.  Jeter is almost certainly going to be the Yankees’ regular shortstop again next season.  It may well be for the best if he slides down to the bottom of the lineup, at least against right-handers.  However, if Jeter stays healthy, he’s going to rack up at least another 150 hits next year.

After that, maybe a reduced role will be in store for 2013.  And depending on how he handles the adjustment, he could retire after the season or remain with the Yankees as a part-timer.

Time for some numbers.  Here’s what I’m thinking.

First, a look at the last four seasons:

2008: 179 H in 150 G – 1.19 H/G
2009: 212 H in 153 G – 1.39 H/G
2010: 179 H in 157 G – 1.14 H/G
2011: 77 H in 67 G – 1.15 H/B

And now my remainder of career of projection:

2011: 82 H in 68 G – 1.21 H/G
2012: 157 H in 140 G – 1.12 H/G
2013: 131 H in 125 G – 1.05 H/G

That would put him at 3,373 hits for his career, placing him ninth all-time between Carl Yastrzemski at 3,419 and Paul Molitor at 3,319.

And that sounds about right to me.  Jeter isn’t likely to hang on like Rose did.  Retiring at 39 as MLB’s ninth-leading hitter seems pretty appropriate.

But how about one more projection. Let’s say Jeter rebounds next year, and the Yankees decide that while he’s probably not a shortstop anymore, he still needs to be an everyday player in 2013, whether it’s in the outfield or at third base (with Alex Rodriguez at DH). He adjusts well, hits about .300 and gets a two-year deal that keeps him in pinstripes through 2015. So here’s the optimistic projection:

2011: 82 H in 68 G – 1.21 H/G
2012: 183 H in 150 G – 1.22 H/G
2013: 171 H in 145 G – 1.18 H/G
2014: 161 H in 140 G – 1.15 H/G
2015: 135 H in 125 G – 1.08 H/G

That would give Jeter 3,735 hits through age 41. Rose and Cobb still appear way out of reach, but he’d be just 36 hits behind Aaron for third all-time. I’d say it’s a long shot, but it’s not so difficult to imagine.

1. Rose – 4,256
2. Cobb – 4,189
3. Aaron – 3,771
4. Jeter – 3,735

Biden praises Braves’ ‘unstoppable, joyful run’ to 2021 win

Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
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WASHINGTON — President Joe Biden said the Atlanta Braves will be “forever known as the upset kings of October” for their improbable 2021 World Series win, as he welcomed the team to the White House for a victory celebration.

Biden called the Braves’ drive an “unstoppable, joyful run.” The team got its White House visit in with just over a week left before the 2022 regular season wraps up and the Major League Baseball playoffs begin again. The Braves trail the New York Mets by 1.5 games in the National League East but have clinched a wildcard spot for the MLB playoffs that begin Oct. 7. Chief Executive Officer Terry McGuirk said he hoped they’d be back to the White House again soon.

In August 2021, the Braves were a mess, playing barely at .500. But then they started winning. And they kept it up, taking the World Series in six games over the Houston Astros.

Biden called their performance of “history’s greatest turnarounds.”

“This team has literally been part of American history for over 150 years,” said Biden. “But none of it came easy … people counting you out. Heck, I know something about being counted out.”

Players lined up on risers behind Biden, grinning and waving to the crowd, but the player most discussed was one who hasn’t been on the team in nearly 50 years and who died last year: Hall of Famer Hank Aaron.

Hammerin’ Hank was the home run king for 33 years, dethroning Babe Ruth with a shot to left field on April 8, 1974. He was one of the most famous players for Atlanta and in baseball history, a clear-eyed chronicler of the hardships thrown his way – from the poverty and segregation of his Alabama youth to the racist threats he faced during his pursuit of one of America’s most hallowed records. He died in January at 86.

“This is team is defined by the courage of Hank Aaron,” Biden said.

McGuirk said Aaron, who held front office positions with the team and was one of Major League Baseball’s few Black executives, was watching over them.

“He’d have been there every step of the way with us if he was here,” McGuirk added.

The president often honors major league and some college sports champions with a White House ceremony, typically a nonpartisan affair in which the commander in chief pays tribute to the champs’ prowess, poses for photos and comes away with a team jersey.

Those visits were highly charged in the previous administration. Many athletes took issue with President Donald Trump’s policies and rhetoric on policing, immigration and more. Trump, for his part, didn’t take kindly to criticism from athletes or their on-field expressions of political opinions.

Under Biden, the tradition appears to be back. He’s hosted the NBA champion Milwaukee Bucks and Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers at the White House. On Monday he joked about first lady Jill Biden’s Philadelphia allegiances.

“Like every Philly fan, she’s convinced she knows more about everything in sports than anybody else,” he said. He added that he couldn’t be too nice to the Atlanta team because it had just beaten the Phillies the previous night in extra innings.

Press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre was later questioned about the team’s name, particularly as other professional sports teams have moved away from names – like the Cleveland Indians, now the Guardians, and the Washington Redskins, now the Commanders – following years of complaints from Native American groups over the images and symbols.

She said it was important for the country to have the conversation. “And Native American and Indigenous voices – they should be at the center of this conversation,” she said.

Biden supported MLB’s decision to pull the 2021 All-Star Game from Atlanta to protest Georgia’s sweeping new voting law, which critics contend is too restrictive.