First-third awards: 2011 AL Rookie of the Year

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Wilson Ramos, who started off in the AL with the Twins, was my choice as the NL Rookie of the Year one-third of the way through the season.  Now on to the other league.

Just for the fun of it, we’ll look at the hitters first:

Mark Trumbo (1B Angels): .256/.306/.472, 10 HR, 28 RBI, 5 SB in 180 AB
J.P. Arencibia (C Blue Jays): .258/.319/.497, 8 HR, 26 RBI, 0 SB in 151 AB
Eric Hosmer (1B Royals): .283/.321/.515, 5 HR, 17 RBI, 2 SB in 99 AB
Hank Conger (C Angels): .233/.288/.369, 3 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB in 103 AB
Elliot Johnson (INF Rays): .258/.306/.409, 2 HR, 8 RBI, 4 SB in 66 AB
Brent Morel (3B White Sox): .238/.256/.311, 1 HR, 13 RBI, 1 SB in 122 AB

It was a given that Arencibia would hit for power, but he’s managed a decent enough OBP and he ranks as the top rookie position player to date. Trumbo is on pace for 30 homers and 80 RBI, which would definitely get him some votes if he can keep it up. Hosmer, though, is coming on quickly and projects as the better player over the rest of the season.

Of course, it’s the pitching side that features most of the talent:

Michael Pineda (Mariners): 6-2, 2.42 ERA, 66/19 K/BB in 63.1 IP
Jeremy Hellickson (Rays): 6-3, 2.80 ERA, 46/27 K/BB in 64.1 IP
Zach Britton (Orioles): 5-3, 2.93 ERA, 38/24 K/BB in 70.2 IP
Tyson Ross (Athletics): 3-3, 2.75 ERA, 24/13 K/BB in 36 IP
Ivan Nova (Yankees): 4-3, 4.67 ERA, 27/24 K/BB in 54 IP
Kyle Drabek (Blue Jays): 3-3, 4.16 ERA, 42/42 K/BB in 62.2 IP
Tyler Chatwood (Angels): 3-2, 4.13 ERA, 27/32 K/BB in 56.2 IP

Jordan Walden (Angels): 0-1, 12 Sv, 3.20 ERA, 26/13 K/BB in 25.1 IP
Aaron Crow (Royals): 2-0, 1.33 ERA, 26/9 K/BB in 27 IP
Vinnie Pestano (Indians): 1-0, 1.35 ERA, 25/7 K/BB in 20 IP
Tim Collins (Royals): 2-2, 2.73 ERA, 31/24 K/BB in 29.2 IP

Pineda, Hellickson and Britton rank 8th, 10th and 12th respecitively in the AL in ERA.

And those three are pretty obviously the top candidates for the hardware. Here’s how Baseball-Reference’s WAR rates the candidates:

Britton: 2.3
Pineda: 2.2
Crow: 1.4
Arencibia: 1.2
Hellickson: 1.2
Drabek: 1.1
Ross: 1.1
Pestano: 1.0
Collins: 0.8
Trumbo: 0.7
Walden: 0.7
Hosmer: 0.6

WAR doesn’t see Hellickson matching up with the other two, even though he has a similar ERA. He probably has been luckier than the other two so far, given that he doesn’t have Pineda’s strikeout rate or Britton’s groundball rate. His .208 average against isn’t going to be sustainable unless he starts striking out batters.

The schedules for the three starts have been similar. One would think Pineda would have had it quite a bit easier than the other two while pitching in the AL West, but the numbers don’t reflect that, at least not yet. As a result, I am going to give Pineda the nod here. I think Hellickson might be the favorite for the full year, since he’s the better bet to end up somewhere around 200 innings. Britton is plenty good, too, but the starts against the Yankees, Red Sox, Rays and Blue Jays figure to wear on his numbers as time goes on.

AL Rookie of the Year
1. Pineda
2. Britton
3. Hellickson

Rangers activate Elvis Andrus from disabled list

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The Rangers made a handful of roster moves on Monday, per the club’s executive VP of communications John Blake. Shortstop Elvis Andrus has been activated from the 60-day disabled list, pitcher Ricardo Rodriguez was recalled from Triple-A Round Rock. Catcher Jose Trevino was optioned to Double-A Frisco. And yesterday, outfielder Ryan Rua was optioned to Round Rock.

The big news, of course, is the return of Andrus. He missed over two months of action after suffering a fractured right elbow on April 11 when he was hit by a 97 MPH fastball. Andrus had gotten off to a good start, batting .327/.426/.500 in 61 plate appearances.

Jurickson Profar handled shortstop while Andrus was out and did an adequate job. While his defense was subpar according to the metrics, he hit .243/.315/.456 across 267 trips to the plate. With Andrus back, Profar will likely slide back into a utility role for the Rangers.