Francisco Liriano’s struggles are more extreme and have gotten more attention during the Twins’ awful first month, but Carl Pavano has been plenty terrible himself with a 5.84 ERA through six starts.
More worrisome than the bloated ERA is that Pavano’s strikeout rate continues to plummet, dropping from 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings in 2009 after the Twins acquired him at midseason to 4.8 per nine innings last year and now 4.1 per nine innings this season.
For some context, his rotation-mate Nick Blackburn’s career rate of 4.3 strikeouts per nine innings is dead last among all active MLB pitchers with 500 innings. Pavano, like Blackburn, doesn’t induce enough ground balls to thrive with that few missed bats, particularly with a shoddy defense behind them.
As a pitching staff the Twins have managed just 5.8 strikeouts per nine innings, which is dead last in MLB. Lots of contact plus sub par defense equals runs in bunches. And speaking of lots of contact … Pavano lost to the Royals yesterday, but at least he defeated a trash can in the dugout:
Tom Haudricourt of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports that the Brewers and starter Jimmy Nelson have avoided arbitration, agreeing to a one-year, $3.7 million contract. The deal includes a $50,000 bonus if he wins Comeback Player of the Year Award, per Fancred’s Jon Heyman.
Nelson, 29, was entering his second of three years of arbitration eligibility. The right-hander missed the entire 2018 season after undergoing shoulder surgery in September 2017. He had a solid 2017 season, finishing with a 3.49 ERA and a 199/48 K/BB ratio in 1751/3 innings of work. The Brewers are hoping he can return to form this coming season.
Assuming he’s healthy and productive, he will rejoin a rotation that now includes Jhoulys Chacin, Chase Anderson, Zach Davis, and an as yet undecided No. 5 starter.