Here’s what I think happens with Cliff Lee

60 Comments

I don’t just sit and pontificate about free agent or trade destinations very often, but it’s a slow day, so here goes:

  • I predict that the Yankees are going to get Cliff Lee, with Lee selecting the seven-year deal off that “menu” of offers the Yankees are reported to have given him;
  • I predict that he will be the highest paid free agent pitcher of all time;
  • I predict that when it’s all said and done, word will leak that the Rangers offers — for all of the pomp and circumstance, visits to Arkansas and billionaires on parade — were decidedly light.
  • I predict that the inevitable conclusion of all of this will be that, in reality, Cliff Lee’s agent Darek Braunecker got Brian Cashman to bid against himself in a panicky fashion.
  • I predict that, for the first couple of years anyway, no one in Yankeeland will really care because Lee will do pretty well.
  • I predict that, in three or four years, Lee will regress or break down and become a good but by-no-means elite lefty starter.
  • I predict that, when that happens, people will look back at this winter and wonder why everyone was so hot for Cliff Lee.

None of that is based on any inside information. Just my suspicion of how it’s all going to play out based on a few minutes away from the computer, thinking big picture thoughts while flying home last night. If I’m wrong, I’m wrong. But I think I’m right.