CC vs. AJ in Game 4: a rebuttal

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Joe Pawlikowski counters my Team A.J. post over at Fangraphs. He prefers CC Sabathia for a pretty basic reason:

The overall point of using Sabathia tonight is to give the team the best chance of prolonging the series. No matter the match-up, Sabathia gives the team a better chance to win this evening. That means at least two more games. Since the Yankees are down two games to one, prolonging the series should be their foremost thought.

There is obviously more to that argument including data about short rest starts, so by all means, go read it. It’s probably the best pro-Sabathia argument I’ve seen today. Everything else is so much hysteria, it seems.

I think both Joe and I agree on one thing: there is no clear, shining wonderful option for the Yankees. This is not a situation of a smart move vs. a boneheaded move. It’s about tradeoffs: do you take your best shot in this one game, or do you try to maximize your sustained firepower over the next three?