First-quarter awards: AL Cy Young

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doug fister throwing.jpgNo Zack Greinke, Felix Hernandez, CC Sabathia, Justin Verlander or Jon Lester here.
We’ll turn to VORP again here to give us a top 10 list:
1. Doug Fister – 21.4 – 3-2, 1.96 ERA, 25/10 K/BB in 55 IP
2. Shaun Marcum – 20.0 – 3-1, 2.61 ERA, 45/14 K/BB in 62 IP
3. David Price – 19.4 – 6-1, 1.81 ERA, 44/20 K/BB in 54 2/3 IP
4. Andy Pettitte – 18.7 – 5-0, 1.79 ERA, 29/16 K/BB in 45 1/3 IP
5. Matt Garza – 18.7 – 5-1, 2.38 ERA, 48/17 K/BB in 56 2/3 IP
6. John Danks – 18.4 – 3-3, 2.26 ERA, 45/16 K/BB in 55 2/3 IP
7. Jeff Niemann – 16.4 – 3-0, 2.54 ERA, 31/16 K/BB in 49 2/3 IP
8. Ricky Romero – 16.4 – 4-1, 2.88 ERA, 59/21 K/BB in 56 1/3 IP
9. Phil Hughes – 16.0 – 5-0, 2.25 ERA, 42/15 K/BB in 44 IP
10. C.J. Wilson – 15.7 – 3-1, 2.55 ERA, 39/19 K/BB in 53 IP
Yeah, matches my preseason rankings exactly.
Relievers worth adding to the mix include Jose Valverde (0.51 ERA, 10 saves in 11 chances) and Rafael Soriano (1.59 ERA, 10 saves in 10 chances).
By ERA, Pettitte has been the AL’s top pitcher. However, he’s made just seven starts and he ranks 15th in WHIP.
The league WHIP leaders are Fister at 0.91 and Marcum at 0.97, with Hughes, Jason Vargas and Dallas Braden right behind at 0.98.
Unlike in the NL, strength of schedule isn’t much of a factor here:
Fister – 720 OPS against
Marcum – 730
Price – 731
Pettitte – 715
Garza – 717
Danks – 731
Niemann – 730
Romero – 698
Hughes – 741
Wilson – 733
I think Hughes has been the American League’s best pitcher so far, but like Pettitte, he’s made seven starts, while the competition has made eight or nine. And he’s not far enough out in front to make up for the gap in innings.
Fister has miraculously limited hitters to a .203 average despite striking out just 25 batters in 55 innings. He’s getting a ton of help from a top-notch defense. Safeco Field is playing a part as well; 70 percent of Fister’s innings have come at home.
Marcum is getting less help from his defense and his ballpark. Plus, like Fister, he’s yet to allow an unearned run. Still, while I’m not big on win-loss records, it is disappointing that he’s won just one-third of his starts despite decent run support.
Price is the only AL starter with six wins. He’s yet to allow more than three runs in a start. The Rays scored a total of three runs in his loss and no-decision. He has allowed three unearned runs, but they all came in wins.
This just isn’t an easy call. And none of the pitchers under consideration now are close to sure things to be in the mix at season’s end. I’m going with Price, in large part because of his innings advantage over Hughes. I wouldn’t argue against Fister, though. While his defense has shouldered much of the load, he’s been ridiculously effective.
First-quarter AL Cy Young Award
1. Price
2. Hughes
3. Fister