2010 projected leaders: ERA

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Over the next several days, I’ll be dipping into my 2010 projections and presenting some leaderboards.
NL
1. Tim Lincecum – 2.78
2. Roy Halladay – 2.83
3. Chris Carpenter – 3.06
4. Adam Wainwright – 3.18
5. Johan Santana – 3.31
6. Clayton Kershaw – 3.33
7. Josh Johnson – 3.35
8. Dan Haren – 3.41
9. Tommy Hanson – 3.43
10. Chad Billingsley – 3.47
The ERA crown remains Lincecum’s, but Halladay might have to be considered the Cy Young favorite, given that he should receive better offensive support. Halladay has a tougher ballpark to deal with, but he will be helped by the Phillies’ superior defense.
AL
1. Felix Hernandez – 3.06
2. Zack Greinke – 3.13
3. Cliff Lee – 3.17
4. Jon Lester – 3.35
5. Justin Verlander – 3.53
6. CC Sabathia – 3.54
7. Josh Beckett – 3.58
8. Brett Anderson – 3.60
9. Rick Porcello – 3.74
10. John Lackey – 3.80
I have Anderson and Porcello joining the ranks of the AL’s elite, but other candidates include David Price, Clay Buchholz and Max Scherzer.
Greinke would still be the AL’s best pitcher if he finished so slightly behind Hernandez. That’s because King Felix has an all-world defense backing him up, while Greinke is almost certain to get subpar defensive support.