Good news, bad news for first-place teams

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Doug Miller of MLB.com crunched the numbers
and found that since 1995–when MLB expanded to six divisions–66.3
percent of the teams in first place on June 1 have gone on to win the
division.

On the surface that sounds like great news for the Yankees, Tigers,
Rangers, Phillies, Brewers, and Dodgers. Of course, another way of
looking at the numbers suggests that two of those six teams will fall
from first place by season’s end.

Los Angeles is already eight games up in what is probably baseball’s
worst division, so the Dodgers look pretty safe. On the other hand, I’d
have zero trouble imagining any of the other five June 1 division
leaders failing to hang onto their leads all season.

The Yankees have a one-game lead in baseball’s best division, the
Tigers have the worst record of any first-place team, the Rangers will
have to hold off the increasingly healthy Angels, the Phillies and Mets
figure to go down to the wire and may also be joined by the Braves, and
the NL Central is so tightly bunched behind the Brewers that they have
just a four-game lead over the fourth-place team.

Brandon Morrow injured his back taking off his pants

Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images
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The Cubs’ bullpen got into trouble in the ninth inning on Tuesday afternoon during the first game of a doubleheader. Justin Wilson started the inning with the Cubs leading 3-2, normally a situation for closer Brandon Morrow. Wilson issued a leadoff walk to Austin Barnes, then gave up a single to Justin Turner. Morrow wasn’t warming up, curiously. Wilson ended up giving up a go-ahead two-run double to pinch-hitter Kyle Farmer and the Cubs went on to lose 4-3.

We now know why Morrow wasn’t available. He says his back tightened up taking off his pants early Monday morning, MLB.com’s Carrie Muskat reports. Morrow said, “It’s frustrating any time you can’t get out there, especially when you can’t go for something as stupid as taking your pants off.”

Morrow, 33, has been terrific in the closer’s role this season for the Cubs. He owns a 1.59 ERA with a 25/9 K/BB ratio in 22 2/3 innings. He is also not available for the back end of Tuesday’s doubleheader, but it sounds like he won’t need to go on the disabled list.