Craig Calcaterra

Tony Clark
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Be skeptical of talk of a work stoppage

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There was a story last night from Ken Rosenthal about how, contrary to all of the recent talk of an uneventful collective bargaining season, there is the distinct possibility of the owners locking out the players come December 1.

With the acknowledgement that anything can happen in a negotiation and that the only people who are truly in the know are behind the closed doors of a conference room, I’m skeptical that there will be a work stoppage of any kind. And I suspect that this is merely an instance of saber-rattling as the sides approach a conclusion.

The reason I think this: the issue Rosenthal’s source says is the primary sticking point — the owners want an international draft and the players are pushing back hard — does not seem to present the sort of existential threat to either side such that they’d reasonably be willing to endure the costs of a work stoppage.

Yes, the owners want an international draft to contain costs, but they are not excessive costs as a opposed to annoying ones. Indeed, a moderately-priced free agent relief pitcher often costs a club more than their entire international signing budget does. Sure, they’d like those costs to be cheaper, but the owners have never portrayed them as a huge matter.

Yes, the players are reportedly — and admirably — taking a principled stand on the matter of the draft, but it seems odd that after several consecutive CBAs and mid-deal alterations to the CBA which sold out minor league players and international free agents with things like bonus pools and signing bonus slotting that the MLBPA now, suddenly, is willing to go to the mat for guys who, largely, will never become union members and those who do won’t for many, many years.

Contrast this with the last work stoppage, in 1994. There the owners wanted to impose a salary cap, which represented a radical departure from the status quo and which would have hurt every single major league player. Likewise, compare this with the last contentious negotiation, in 2002, which nearly led to a strike. Things were tense then, as the parties had been playing the season with the previous deal having already expired months ago. The issues on the table were likewise major ones: MLB wanted to contract at least two teams, drastically increase revenue sharing and the luxury tax, and implement PED testing which, at that time, had not been ever seriously discussed and, rather, was an early reaction to Jose Canseco saying he’d write a book.

The sense in both 1994 and 2002 was that the owners were lying, that they were not taking the union seriously, that the owners were fighting amongst themselves and that the negotiations were being conducted in bad faith. Compare this to the present where there is broad agreement on things like the luxury tax, revenue sharing and PED testing. Rather than the doomsday feeling that pervaded the CBA negotiations in previous times of hostility, the parties now openly talk of the great prosperity in the game.

Mostly, though, my belief that there will be no work stoppage is based on simple tactics and public relations considerations. Both sides are well aware of how poorly a work stoppage would play with the public and neither side wants to be seen as the party responsible for it. As such, if the international draft were a hill either side was truly willing to die on, they would have been casting it as such for months in the leadup to these negotiations. Either directly or via plants with sympathetic members of the press. Neither side has. Indeed, apart from people intimately familiar with the international market like Baseball America’s Ben Badler and lefty, pro-labor kooks like me, no one has been talking about it at all. If anyone was willing to lock out or walk out on this matter, it would’ve been signaled long ago.

What I suspect is happening is that the players are trying to extract a few more concessions for that international draft than the owners thought they would and that it’s making the owners cranky. They’ve had a pretty smooth relationship with Tony Clark and the MLBPA in recent years — too smooth, if you ask me — and I suspect they’re a bit shocked and somewhat annoyed that they’re actually getting some pushback. As a result, an owner or two was sent to the reporter with the highest profile in the business, Rosenthal, to rattle those sabers. Thus we get last night’s story. By the same token, it would not shock me at all if a reporter who is more plugged in to the agent/labor side of things has a competing story today from the union’s perspective.

The only thing that gives me a even a bit of pause with respect to all of this has more to do with historic parallel than it does the actual facts on the ground. It’s been a while since the owners and the union truly fought. As such, there is scant, fading institutional memory of the 1994 strike. Part of me wonders if, like European powers in 1914 who had not seen a major war on their soil in 40 years, they are approaching all of this as a bit of consequence-free folly, having either forgotten the pain of the past war or believing that they are far too smart and powerful now to do anything put painlessly prevail. I think Rob Manfred is smarter than any of those kaisers and kings, however, so this doesn’t seem likely, but then again I didn’t think we’d be talking about actual Nazis in 2016, and here we are.

That little bit of fear notwithstanding, I am pretty confident that this is all a bluff. So I say again, while anything could happen, I don’t think there will be a work stoppage. I think a deal will be reached by the December 1 CBA expiration date.

And if I’m wrong? Hey, things will be so horrible and dreary that you all will have way better things to do than shove this post in my face and tell me how wrong I was.

 

The Padres dramatically announce some profoundly boring “new” uniforms

MILWAUKEE, WI - MAY 13:  A San Diego Padres hat sits in the dugout during the game against the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park on May 13, 2016 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images)
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The Padres got CRAZY last year. I mean nuts. Of course I’m referring to their adoption of a hint of yellow to their standard blue and white uniforms which, before then, led the league in genericness for several years running.

Seems that was a bit too much for some people, however, because they just got rid of the yellow and have reverted to their old generic selves. The best part: a video with comically dramatic music to announce a uniform change that I bet 95% of the public would have no idea was actually a change unless they were told it was:

Kudos for keeping the weekend throwbacks, I suppose, but as I and many others have argued time and again, the Padres refusal to embrace their franchise’s uniform history is one of the more perplexing things around. They need to bring back the brown.

And no, not in the same way they did back in the 70s. They could totally embrace the brown in a modern way that would (a) look great; and (b) be truly unique in baseball’s bland world of mostly red, white and blue. We’ve highlighted John Brubaker’s work along these lines before, but in case you’ve never seen it:

The bottom right mockups are so, so good looking. And the only people who think this would be a bad idea, apparently, happen to run the San Diego Padres. Why that is, I have no idea.

Orioles name Roger McDowell their new pitching coach

ATLANTA, GA - AUGUST 30:  Roger McDowell #45 of the Atlanta Braves looks on in the eighth inning against the New York Yankees at Turner Field on August 30, 2015 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
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The Baltimore Orioles just announced that they have named Roger McDowell their new pitching coach.

McDowell spent the past 11 seasons as the pitching coach for the Atlanta Braves. The club declined to pick up his 2017 option after the season, however, freeing him up to go to Baltimore. His predecessor with the Braves, Leo Mazzone, likewise went from Atlanta to Baltimore to become the O’s pitching coach. No word on whether McDowell’s secretary was named Mazzone and Mazzone’s secretary was named McDowell.

Haha, just kidding. Pitching coaches don’t have secretaries. And it’s the Freemasons who are behind pitching coach jobs, not historical coincidence. Wake up, sheeple.

Anyway, McDowell was well thought of for most of his tenure in Atlanta. Less well thought of when the pitchers stunk, more well thought of when they didn’t. Which is pretty much true of every pitching coach this side of Dave Duncan.

McDowell pitched his final season in a Batlimore uniform, by the way, appearing in 41 games and picking up four saves in 1996.