Josh Hamilton’s triple crown chances: pretty darn good, all things considered

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It’s ESPN Insider, but Dan Szymborski has a column up today assessing Josh Hamilton’s triple crown chances. While normally that’s pie in the sky stuff, as Dan notes, Hamilton winning the triple crown is more like pie on a moderately high shelf territory.

He ran 100,000 simulations of the remainder of the season, taking Hamilton’s historic norms and projections for this season going forward, and …

After all the numbers are crunched, Hamilton remains essentially a coin-flip to lead the league in each of the Triple Crown categories … In the 100,000 seasons played, Hamilton won the Triple Crown 16.1 percent of the time, terrific odds for such a difficult feat.

Hamilton’s historically shaky health is the key, but Dan bakes that into the projections. Indeed, some time on the DL would actually help his odds of winning the batting title. What he really needs to avoid is an extended stay which would put him in a hole in the counting stats.

I wouldn’t bet on it, but people do bet on things often bet on stuff with worse odds.

Report: Diamondbacks sign Jarrod Dyson to two-year, $7.5 million contract

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ESPN’s Jerry Crasnick reports that the Diamondbacks have signed outfielder Jarrod Dyson to a two-year contract. Jon Heyman of FanRag Sports reports that the deal is worth $7.5 million.

Dyson, 33, spent last season with the Mariners. He hit an underwhelming .251/.324/.350, but stole 28 bases while playing superb defense in center field.

Dyson doesn’t quite make up for the Diamondbacks losing J.D. Martinez, who just signed with the Red Sox, but he will bring some speed and defense to the outfield along with A.J. Pollock. It’s not quite clear how the D-Backs plan to utilize Dyson. That should be made clear after the deal is announced.