The MLBPA Player’s Choice Awards aren’t as big a deal as the BBWAA awards, but they’re not nothing. The players certainly think they’re significant as anyone who is awarded something by their peers is likely to feel. Justin Verlander certainly feels that way, as his comments after being awarded the MLBPA’s Player of the Year award last night make clear.
What interests me is whether this award is a harbinger of Verlander winning the MVP.
In the 13 years the Player of the Year Award has existed, the players voted for a guy who went on to win the MVP award six times, with all six of them coming in the last ten years. The players, like the BBWAA, are likewise not crazy about voting for pitchers, having given the Player of the Year award to a pitcher only once: 1999 to Pedro Martinez. Martinez should have won the MVP that year too, but that’s another rant.
Another potential harbinger is the Sporting News Player of the Year award, which Verlander also won this year. In the past ten years, the winner of that award has gone to be win the MVP award seven times. And again, the award is not handed out willy-nilly to pitchers, so the fact that Verlander won it is somewhat significant.
Obviously anything can happen with this stuff and obviously we won’t know for sure who wins the MVP award for a couple of weeks. But I can’t shake the notion, based on how the season ended — Boston flaming out and Jose Bautista’s second half being somewhat less-electrifying than his first — and based on the sentiment from the non-BBWAA award givers, that Verlander is gonna take home the hardware everyone cares about.