We still have nearly two months left in the regular season, but one of the more interesting questions for the Hot Stove will be just how much Jose Reyes will make in free agency given that he has already had two stints on the disabled list this season with a strained left hamstring.
Perception could quickly change if Reyes is able to repeat his month of June in September, of course, but one Mets player told David Lennon of New York Newsday on Monday that “he’s probably losing $100,000 a day on the DL.”
Assuming Reyes spends a similar amount of time on the disabled list as his initial hamstring issue, that means he would stand to lose a little over $3 million total. And that may be kind. While we were having debates a couple of months ago about whether Reyes was worth Carl Crawford money (seven years, $142 million), there’s now a good chance that he will lose a guaranteed year.
Meanwhile, Reyes’ lead agent, Peter Greenberg, is already doing his best to deflect the speedy shortstop’s reputation as an injury-prone player.
“He’s not Cal Ripken,” Greenberg said, “but I think he’s been a lot healthier than a lot of people give him credit for. When he’s out of the lineup, obviously the team misses him, so it gets blown out of proportion because he is so important to the team. I think if you look over the course of time and compare him to a lot of players, he’s as healthy or healthier than a lot of players in the league.”
Reyes dealt with leg problems in the early part of his career, but he played at least 153 games from 2005 to 2008. However, he has appeared in just 267 games since the start of the 2009. Despite that, he is tied for sixth among MLB shortstops since 2009 in FanGraphs War (fWAR). You can bet that many teams will do a careful evaluation of whether Reyes’ production when he is on the field will be worth projected absences due to injury, especially as he makes his way into his 30s.
Update (8:51 PM EST): The deal is in place, according to Heyman.
Update (8:27 PM EST): Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports that the Cardinals made an “over-the-top offer” to Fowler to ensure he’d sign.
Frank Cusumano of KSDK Sports reports that free agent outfielder will take a physical in St. Louis on Friday. Presumably, that means that Fowler and the Cardinals have gotten pretty far along in negotiations.
Jon Heyman of FanRag Sports recently reported that Fowler was looking for $18 million per year. The Blue Jays reportedly made an offer to Fowler in the four-year, $16 million range several days ago. The Cardinals’ offer to Fowler, if there is indeed one, is likely somewhere between the two figures.
Fowler, 30, is coming off of a fantastic year in which he helped the Cubs win their first World Series since 1908. During the regular season, he hit .276/.393/.447 with 13 home runs, 48 RBI, 84 runs scored, and 13 stolen bases in 551 plate appearances.
Fowler rejected the Cubs’ $17.2 million qualifying offer last month. While the QO compensation negatively affected Fowler’s experience in free agency last offseason — he didn’t sign until late February with the Cubs — his strong season is expected to make QO compensation much less of an issue.
Tommy Stokke of RanRag Sports reports that the Braves and Rangers agreed to a trade. According to ESPN’s Keith Law, the Braves will receive pitcher Luke Jackson from the Rangers in exchange for pitchers Tyrell Jenkins and Brady Feigl.
Jackson, 25, is under team control through 2022. He has logged only 18 innings in the majors, yielding 14 runs on 22 hits and eight walks with three strikeouts. While Jackson has struggled with control, the Braves likely see upside because his fastball sits in the mid- to high-90’s.
Jenkins, 24, is also under team control through 2022. The right-hander made eight starts and six relief appearances in his first major league season in 2016, putting up a 5.88 ERA with a 26/33 K/BB ratio over 52 innings.
Feigl, 25, was an undrafted free agent and was signed by the Braves in 2013. The lefty underwent Tommy John surgery in 2015 and briefly rehabbed in rookie ball this past season.