Derek Jeter

Where will Derek Jeter finish on the all-time hits list?

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Upon reaching the milestone Saturday, Derek Jeter became the fourth youngest player to collect 3,000 hits, doing so just a couple of weeks after his 37th birthday on June 26.

Ty Cobb got there at age 34.  Hank Aaron and Robin Yount were 36.  Pete Rose was just a week older than Jeter when he did it.

And, of course, Rose and Cobb are the only members of the 4,000-hit club.  Rose ended his career with 4,256.  Cobb finished at 4,189.  Next on the list is Aaron at 3,771.

So, where will Jeter stand on the all-time list when he’s finished?  He’s currently 27th after overtaking Roberto Clemente, who died having collected exactly 3,000 hits.  With his 5-for-5 day pushing him up to 3,003 hits, he’s just four hits behind Al Kaline for 26th place.

Jeter has 2 1/2 years to go on the three-year, $51 million contract he signed to remain with the Yankees last winter.  Over the last 2 1/2 years, he has 461 hits.  That, however, is going to be a hard total to match over the remainder of his contract.

So, let’s figure it out.

The Yankees have 74 games left this season.  Let’s say Jeter plays in 68 of them.  Jeter has averaged 1.27 hits per game over the course of his career, but only 1.16 this season.  I’ll split the difference and give him 1.21 hits per game over the rest of the season.

That gives Jeter 82 more hits and puts him at 3,085 entering 2012.

From there, who really knows?  Some Yankees fans have talked about wanting Jeter to retire after the season because of his diminished production.  No one really thinks that’s going to happen, though.  Jeter is almost certainly going to be the Yankees’ regular shortstop again next season.  It may well be for the best if he slides down to the bottom of the lineup, at least against right-handers.  However, if Jeter stays healthy, he’s going to rack up at least another 150 hits next year.

After that, maybe a reduced role will be in store for 2013.  And depending on how he handles the adjustment, he could retire after the season or remain with the Yankees as a part-timer.

Time for some numbers.  Here’s what I’m thinking.

First, a look at the last four seasons:

2008: 179 H in 150 G – 1.19 H/G
2009: 212 H in 153 G – 1.39 H/G
2010: 179 H in 157 G – 1.14 H/G
2011: 77 H in 67 G – 1.15 H/B

And now my remainder of career of projection:

2011: 82 H in 68 G – 1.21 H/G
2012: 157 H in 140 G – 1.12 H/G
2013: 131 H in 125 G – 1.05 H/G

That would put him at 3,373 hits for his career, placing him ninth all-time between Carl Yastrzemski at 3,419 and Paul Molitor at 3,319.

And that sounds about right to me.  Jeter isn’t likely to hang on like Rose did.  Retiring at 39 as MLB’s ninth-leading hitter seems pretty appropriate.

But how about one more projection. Let’s say Jeter rebounds next year, and the Yankees decide that while he’s probably not a shortstop anymore, he still needs to be an everyday player in 2013, whether it’s in the outfield or at third base (with Alex Rodriguez at DH). He adjusts well, hits about .300 and gets a two-year deal that keeps him in pinstripes through 2015. So here’s the optimistic projection:

2011: 82 H in 68 G – 1.21 H/G
2012: 183 H in 150 G – 1.22 H/G
2013: 171 H in 145 G – 1.18 H/G
2014: 161 H in 140 G – 1.15 H/G
2015: 135 H in 125 G – 1.08 H/G

That would give Jeter 3,735 hits through age 41. Rose and Cobb still appear way out of reach, but he’d be just 36 hits behind Aaron for third all-time. I’d say it’s a long shot, but it’s not so difficult to imagine.

1. Rose – 4,256
2. Cobb – 4,189
3. Aaron – 3,771
4. Jeter – 3,735

The Padres non-tendered RHP Tyson Ross

SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA - APRIL 04:  Tyson Ross #38 of the San Diego Padres walks off the field as he's taken out of the game in the sixth inning of a baseball game against the Los Angeles Dodgers on opening day at PETCO Park on April 4, 2016 in San Diego, California.  (Photo by Denis Poroy/Getty Images)
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Per a report by MLB.com’s AJ Cassavell, the Padres non-tendered right-handed starter Tyson Ross on Friday, cutting loose their top ace after three seasons with the club.

Ross, 29, was sidelined for the bulk of the season with inflammation in his right shoulder and underwent thoracic outlet surgery in October. His injuries limited him to only 5 1/3 innings in 2016, during which he gave up seven runs and struck out five in a 15-0 blowout against the Dodgers.

Prior to his lengthy stint on the disabled list, the right-hander earned 9.5 fWAR and pitched to a 3.07 ERA and 9.2 K/9 rate in three full seasons with the Padres. He avoided arbitration with a one-year, $9.625 million deal prior to the 2016 season after leading the league with 33 starts and delivering a 3.26 ERA and career-best 4.4 WARP over 196 innings in 2015.

The Padres appear open to bringing Ross back to San Diego, reported Cassavell, albeit not at such a steep cost. Cassavell quoted Padres’ GM A.J. Preller, who was reportedly in trade talks involving Ross but unable to strike a deal, likely due to the right-hander’s recent health issues. Preller denied that those same health issues factored into the club’s decision to non-tender their ace.

With the move, Ross became one of 35 major leaguers to enter free agency on Friday.

Angels’ Pujols has foot surgery, could be sidelined 4 months

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ANAHEIM, Calif. — Los Angeles Angels slugger Albert Pujols had surgery on his right foot Friday, possibly sidelining him past opening day.

Angels general manager Billy Eppler said Pujols had the procedure Friday in North Carolina to release his plantar fascia, the ligament connecting the heel to the toes. The three-time NL MVP was bothered by plantar fasciitis repeatedly during the season, but played through the pain in arguably the strongest year of his half-decade with the Angels.

Eppler said the surgery typically prevents players from participating in baseball activities for three months, along with another month before they’re ready to resume playing in games. Opening day for Los Angeles is April 3, and the Angels hope Pujols can be ready.

“He’s at that point in his career where he’s keenly aware of what’s happening with his body,” Eppler said in a phone interview. “I don’t put the timetable on Albert like you would with your younger players. We’ll just see in Albert’s case, as he progresses, what his timetable is.”

Pujols, who turns 37 next month, batted .268 last year with 31 homers and 119 RBIs, the fourth-most in the majors – although his .780 OPS was among the worst of his career. He largely served as a designated hitter instead of playing first base due to problems with his hamstrings and feet.

Pujols heads into 2017 with 591 career homers, ranking him ninth in major league history. He is 18 homers behind Sammy Sosa for eighth place.

After playing in pain until the final week of the Angels’ disappointing season, Pujols began shock wave therapy on his foot early in the offseason, believing he wouldn’t need surgery.

But Pujols’ foot became more painful in recent weeks despite the therapy, and he huddled with the Angels’ top brass to decide on surgery after his most recent trip to see Dr. Robert Anderson in North Carolina. Continuing with conservative care would have required 10 more weeks, forcing Pujols to miss the first half of the 2017 season if he still required surgery.

“He just felt that the pain had gotten to a point where he was comfortable” having surgery, Eppler said. “If we did delay it, you’re just looking at 2 1/2 more months into the season.”

Pujols had a different type of surgery on his right foot last winter, but recovered in time for opening day. He also had plantar fasciitis in his left foot during the 2013 season, eventually forcing him out for the year when his fascia snapped.

Pujols has five years and $140 million remaining on the 10-year, $240 million free-agent contract that pried him out of St. Louis, where he won two World Series and became a nine-time NL All-Star.

The Angels haven’t won a playoff game since Pujols’ arrival and Mike Trout‘s concurrent emergence as one of baseball’s best players. They went 74-88 last season, the injury-plagued club’s worst record since 1999.