Washington Nationals v New York Mets

Players kick butt in their free agency walk years and slack off later, right? Um, no.


It’s taken as a matter of faith that players go crazy in their free agent walk years, motivated by that big paycheck. And then that, after they get the fat deal, they themselves get fat and lazy and simply cash their checks. And sure, we all can cite examples of players who seem to fit this pattern.

But as Joe Sheehan writes over at Sports Illustrated today, it’s neither borne out by the statistical data nor does it tell the whole story. And here’s a big part of the story people miss:

The concept that players play best when motivated by potential free agency is as much a tale of managerial failure as it is one of player psychology. Front offices want to blame the player for failing to meet their expectations, rather than consider that the expectations were out of line.

Sheehan cites Gary Matthews Jr.’s deal with the Angels, but there are any number of players who got rich because their teams didn’t realize they were flukes. Yet we often blame the player for his regression as opposed to blaming management for the misjudgment.

It’s a good article that, no matter how many time the subject is revisited, people seem to reject the facts and go back to what they believe to be true.  Let’s read Joe’s piece today and try to remember it, OK?

Kershaw, Greinke, Anderson lined up for Dodgers in NLDS

Zack Greinke, Clayton Kershaw
AP Photo/Alex Brandon
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Clayton Kershaw will pitch Game 1, Zack Greinke will pitch Game 2, and Brett Anderson will pitch Game 3 in the Dodgers’ upcoming best-of-five National League Division Series against the Mets, the Dodgers announced Tuesday.

There aren’t any surprises there.

Alex Wood is lined up as the team’s Game 4 starter, but there’s a good chance Kershaw will go on short rest if the Dodgers are on the brink of elimination.

Kershaw and Greinke are both going to finish in the top three of a historical 2015 Cy Young Award vote.

Anderson, an oft-injured 27-year-old left-hander, topped 180 inning this season for the first time in his career.

Estrada in Game 3, Dickey in Game 4 for Blue Jays

Marco Estrada
AP Photo/Kathy Willens
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It’s already been established that the Blue Jays would throw deadline acquisition David Price in Game 1 of their ALDS matchup against the Rangers and fast-rising right-hander Marcus Stroman in Game 2.

Now we know how they’ll fill out the rest of their rotation for the best-of-five round …

John Lott of the National Post notes that R.A. Dickey threw a simulated game on Tuesday afternoon at Rogers Centre, which lines him up for a potential ALDS Game 4 next Monday in Texas. Marco Estrada will take Game 3 on Sunday night in Arlington.

Mark Buehrle retired after his final regular-season start, so he’s obviously out of the mix.

Toronto is the World Series favorite to many as the postseason gets underway.