WAR does the All-Star teams – NL version

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Presenting the 2011 NL All-Star team of the moment, courtesy of Wins Above Replacement (in this case, the Baseball-Reference version of it):

C Buster Posey (Giants) – 1.4
1B Joey Votto (Reds) – 2.6
2B Brandon Phillips (Reds) – 1.3
3B Pablo Sandoval (Giants) – 1.5
SS Jose Reyes (Mets) – 1.5
LF Ryan Braun (Brewers) – 2.2
CF Matt Kemp (Dodgers) – 2.5
RF Carlos Beltran (Mets) – 1.9
DH Lance Berkman (Cardinals) – 2.0

C Ramon Hernandez (Reds) – 1.4
C Yadier Molina (Cardinals) – 1.3
1B Gaby Sanchez (Marlins) – 1.9
1B Prince Fielder (Brewers) – 1.4
2B Neil Walker (Pirates) – 1.3
3B Chipper Jones (Braves) – 1.2
SS Troy Tulowitzki (Rockies) – 1.3
INF Ryan Roberts (Diamondbacks) – 1.3
OF Drew Stubbs (Reds) – 1.9
OF Andrew McCutchen (Pirates) – 1.8
OF Matt Holliday (Cardinals) – 1.8
OF Kosuke Fukudome (Cubs) – 1.3

Roy Halladay (Phillies) – 2.7
Kyle Lohse (Cardinals) – 2.4
Josh Johnson (Marlins) – 2.4
Cole Hamels (Phillies) – 2.1
Jaime Garcia (Cardinals) – 2.0
Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers) – 2.0
Hiroki Kuroda (Dodgers) – 1.7
Wandy Rodriguez (Astros) – 1.7

Francisco Rodriguez (Mets) – 1.7
Jonny Venters (Braves) – 1.4
Drew Storen (Nationals) – 1.4
Ryan Madson (Phillies) – 1.2
Mike Adams (Padres) – 1.0

– The Cubs and Padres were the only teams with iffy choices here.  Actually, the Cubs’ Carlos Marmol ranked as the No. 5 reliever at 1.1, but I went for Adams instead there and choice Fukudome as a reserve outfielder.

– Sandoval rates as the NL’s top third baseman despite having played in just 24 games.  Chipper and Placido Polanco both came in at 1.2 WAR.

– Some may be surprised to see Reyes on top of Tulo at shortstop, but Reyes actually has the better OPS of the two now, .840 to .837.  Factor in the park effects and Reyes has been clearly better offensively. 

– Tulo actually turned out to be the Rockies’ lone player on the squad, though both Jhoulys Chacin (1.6) and Matt Lindstrom (1.0) were close to making it.

Rangers, Rougned Odor finalize contract extension

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The Texas Rangers announced today that they have finalized a six-year, $49.5 million extension for second baseman Rougned Odor. There is an option for a seventh year that could bring the deal to $52.5 million. That a deal was done was reported over the weekend by Jon Heyman and Evan Grant.

The deal covers Odor’s first three years of arbitration eligibility. Odor had previously agreed to a $563,180 salary for 2017.

The 23-year-old second baseman tallied 33 home runs, 88 RBI, 14 stolen bases, and 89 runs scored in 150 games last season.

2017 Preview: Our Predictions

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By now I don’t need to tell you how silly it is to predict the outcome of a baseball season in which over 2,400 baseball games are played by over a thousand players, all of whom are subject to injury and/or wild variation from past performance or reasonable expectations. Baseball is freakin’ chaos, my friends. And while that is one of the top things to recommend it, it’s also the thing that makes predicting its outcomes a fool’s errand.

Let no one say that Bill, Ashley and I aren’t fools. We’re gonna make our picks anyway, because that’s what we do:

 

ASHLEY’S PREDICTIONS

AL East: Red Sox
AL Central: Indians
AL West: Mariners
AL Wild Cards: Astros, Blue Jays

NL East: Nationals
NL Central: Cubs
NL West: Giants
NL Wild Cards: Mets, Dodgers

ALCS: Astros vs. Indians
NLCS: Giants vs. Nationals
World Series: Astros vs. Nationals … Nationals win!

AL MVP: Mookie Betts
NL MVP: Kris Bryant
AL CYA: Chris Sale
NL CYA: Madison Bumgarner
AL ROY: Andrew Benintendi
NL ROY: Dansby Swanson
AL MOY: A.J. Hinch
NL MOY: Bruce Bochy

 

BILL’S PREDICTIONS

AL East: Red Sox
AL Central: Indians
AL West: Astros
AL Wild Cards: Rangers, Blue Jays

NL East: Nationals
NL Central: Cubs
NL West: Dodgers
NL Wild Cards: Mets, Cardinals

ALCS: Indians vs. Rangers
NLCS: Cubs vs. Dodgers
World Series: Dodgers vs. Rangers, Dodgers win in five games.

AL MVP: Manny Machado
NL MVP: Corey Seager
AL CYA: Chris Sale
NL CYA: Noah Syndergaard
AL ROY: Yoan Moncada
NL ROY: Dansby Swanson
NOTE: Bill did not pick Manager of the Year recipients because he is a communist who does not believe in honoring those who benefit from the labor of others. Then I shamed him about it on Twitter, so he pitched A.J. Hinch and Dusty Baker.

 

CRAIG’S PREDICTIONS

AL East: Red Sox
AL Central: Indians
AL West: Astros
AL Wild Cards: Mariners, Tigers

NL East: Nationals
NL Central: Cubs
NL West: Dodgers
NL Wild Cards: Mets, Giants

ALCS: Red Sox vs. Indians
NLCS: Cubs vs. Dodgers
World Series: Red Sox vs. Cubs, Cubs win in seven games

AL MVP: Mookie Betts
NL MVP: Yoenis Cespedes
AL CYA: Justin Verlander
NL CYA: Clayton Kershaw
AL ROY: Andrew Benintendi
NL ROY: Hunter Renfroe
AL MOY: A.J. Hinch
NL MOY: Joe Maddon

Mark it down, you guys. And then please forget it, because we’re gonna pretend these predictions never happened come October.