So how did I do with those predictions?

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With not a whole lot going on today, I figured now would be as good a time as any to see how my preseason predictions turned out. The verdict: not as bad as it could have been, but about as random as you might expect.  Here’s what I had, with the team-links going to the full-blown team previews (* is the wild card):

AL East: Yankees, Rays,* Red Sox, Orioles, Blue Jays
AL Central: Twins, Tigers, White Sox, Royals, Indians
AL West: Angels, Rangers, Mariners, Athletics
NL East: Braves, Phillies,* Marlins, Mets, Nationals
NL Central: Cardinals, Reds, Brewers, Cubs, Astros, Pirates
NL West: Rockies, Dodgers, Giants, Diamondbacks, Padres

AL MVP: Kendry Morales
NL MVP: Troy
Tulowitzki
AL Cy Young: CC Sabathia
NL Cy Young:  Roy Halladay
AL Rookie of the Year
Austin Jackson
NL Rookie of the Year: Jason Heyward
AL Manager of the Year:
Joe Maddon
NL Manager of the Year: Bobby Cox

Among the most laughable things was having the Padres in last place, having Kendry Morales as the MVP and having the Angels winning the west. The Padres came out of nowhere, so if anyone had them in first place back in April they were living in fantasyland.  If Morales doesn’t get hurt that Angels prediction is less laughable, but no, his presence alone would not have saved the season. The Rockies and Braves were my bold choices. Neither panned out perfectly, though I’m pretty sure I’m in the minority in thinking that Atlanta would make the playoffs. If Colorado had figured it out Tulowitzki had a good shot at the MVP, but alas it will not be.

Sabathia and Halladay were pretty obvious but pretty good preseason choices for Cy Young. Halladay will get it, I’m almost certain. When people have asked me lately I’ve given the pessimistic “Sabathia will win it” answer for the AL, but now that I think about it a bit more, I wonder if the tide (or the hysteria) has turned and Felix Hernandez won’t get it after all.  If not, my preseason comments about the writers not wanting to give it to a low win-total guy for the second straight year will have been somewhat prescient.

Heyward and Jackson as rookies of the year are defensible, but I’m guessing that I successfully predicted second place in each league rather than the winner. Picking the manager of the year is a toughie. Maddon and Cox weren’t nuts, but neither will get it. If the Padres and Rangers hadn’t played so well this year maybe Maddon and Cox would have gotten it.

I still think predictions are a sucker’s game, yet I still do them because they’re fun. So much so that I’ll certainly try to predict the postseason here in the next 48 hours.  I wonder how wrong I’ll be about that?

Astros avoid arbitration with Mike Fiers

SEATTLE, WA - SEPTEMBER 17: Starting pitcher Mike Fiers #54 of the Houston Astros walks to the dugout after pitching an inning during a game against the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field on September 17, 2016 in Seattle, Washington. The Astros won the game 2-1. (Photo by Stephen Brashear/Getty Images)
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The Astros avoided arbitration with pitcher Mike Fiers, agreeing on a $3.45 million salary for the 2017 season, per Jake Kaplan of the Houston Chronicle. The right-hander was in his first of three years of arbitration eligibility.

Fiers, 31, made 30 starts and one relief appearance for the Astros in 2016. He finished the year with a 4.48 ERA and a 134/42 K/BB ratio in 168 2/3 innings.

Fiers had a much better showing in 2015 as well as in limited action in 2014, so the Astros are hoping he rediscovers that effectiveness going forward. He’ll slot into the back of the starting rotation.

Raines to wear an Expos cap, Pudge to wear a Rangers cap on their Hall of Fame plaques

1990:  Outfielder Tim Raines of the Montreal Expos in action. Mandatory Credit: Otto Greule  /Allsport
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There is little if any controversy to be had about the caps this year’s inductees will wear on their Hall of Fame plaques, but in case there was any doubt at all, it was put to rest this afternoon at the Hall of Fame press conference: Tim Raines will wear a Montreal Expos cap and Ivan Rodriguez will wear a Rangers cap. Jeff Bagwell, of course, never played for a team other than the Houston Astros at the big league level.

Though Raines had some good seasons with the Chicago White Sox and though he helped provide a nice kick start to the Yankees dynasty in the mid-1990s, his best seasons, by far, took place while he was an Expo. It’s also the case that the bulk of his Hall of Fame push came from Expos fans. He was particularly boosted by Jonah Keri, who recently wrote a book detailing the history of the Expos. So, yeah, that’s easy.

Rodriguez played 13 of his 21 years with the Texas Rangers, including his MVP 1999 season. He did have some notable years elsewhere, particularly in Detroit where he remains a fan favorite, but it was always going to be the Rangers for him, one would think. Maybe a slight, slight chance that he’d do the blank cap thing, Greg Maddux-style, but smart money was on the Rangers.

With Bagwell, the only question is which Astros cap he’ll wear. There are a couple of applicable ones: the brick red star, which he wore to the World Series in 2005. There’s also the shooting star cap he wore during his best seasons and which Craig Biggio’s plaque displays. He was around for the classic “H” over the star look, but he was just a kid then, so I doubt he’d wear it.

Anyway, sorry to the Marlins fans who wished that Raines and Pudge would wear the fishy-F.