Breaking down Sunday's playoff scenarios…

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No matter the results, really, this is going to be a crazy day in the baseball world.  Let’s lay out the possible scenarios before everything gets going.

The Padres, 90-71, are one game back of the Giants in the NL West and tied with the Braves in the NL Wild Card.

The Giants, 91-70, lead the NL West by one game.

The Braves, 90-71, share the NL Wild Card currently with the Padres.

  • If the Giants beat the Padres on Sunday, the Giants take the NL West.  Then if the Braves beat the Phillies, the Braves take the NL Wild Card.
  • If the Giants beat the Padres but the Braves lose to the Phillies, there would be a one-game playoff in Atlanta between the Padres and Braves for the NL Wild Card.
  • If the Padres beat the Giants and the Braves lose, the Padres would win the NL West because they won the season series against the Giants.  And the Giants, then, would win the Wild Card.
  • If the Padres and Braves both win, all teams would finish with a 91-71 record, marking the first-ever three-team tiebreaker in MLB history.  The Giants and Padres would play a one-game playoff in San Diego on Monday to decide the division.  The loser would then head to Atlanta for a one-game playoff on Tuesday that would decide the Wild Card.

For what it’s worth, we’re rooting for that last one.

Report: Momentum in talks between Mariners, Jon Jay

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MLB.com’s Mark Feinsand reports that there is some momentum in talks between the Mariners and free agent outfielder Jon Jay.

Jay, 32, hit .296/.374/.375 in 433 plate appearances with the Cubs last season, which is adequate. He’s heralded more for his defense and his ability to play all three outfield spots.

The Mariners are losing center fielder Jarrod Dyson to free agency and likely don’t want to rely on Guillermo Heredia next season, hence the interest in Jay. The free agent class for center fielders is otherwise relatively weak.