Apparently baseball players throw too many fastballs. It will take smarter people than I am to figure out if this Means Something or it’s merely interesting. It’s been a long day, however, and at this point interesting is enough for me:
In the case of baseball, we observe every pitch thrown in the major
leagues over the period 2002-2006 – a total of more than 3 million
pitches. For football, we observe every play in the National Football League for the years 2001-2005 – over 125,000 plays . . . The results obtained from analyzing the football and baseball data are
quite similar. In both cases, we find clear deviations from minimax
play, as evidenced by a failure to equalize expected payoffs across
different actions played as part of mixed strategies, and with respect
to negative serial correlation in actions . . . In baseball, pitchers appear to throw too many fastballs,
i.e., batters systematically have better outcomes when thrown fastballs
versus any other type of pitch.
Game theory, schmame theory. Maybe ballplayers just want to give him the heat and announce their presence with authority. Didja ever think of that? And maybe those suckers simply teed off on ’em like they knew they were gonna throw a fastball.
Oh . . .
(thanks to Pete Toms for the link)
UPDATE: Play has resumed after a 48-minute rain delay. Chris Young has replaced Ventura for the Royals.
8:30 p.m. ET: And now we’re officially in a rain delay in Kansas City. It will be interesting to see how long this lasts and how it might impact Ventura and McHugh.
8:29 p.m. ET: The Royals are on the board in Game 1 of the ALDS against the Astros.
After the Astros tacked on another run against Yordano Ventura in the top of the second inning on an RBI single from Jose Altuve, Kendrys Morales connected for a solo homer against Collin McHugh to lead off the bottom of the inning. The ball traveled an estimated 369 feet near the right-field foul pole.
With rain falling at Kauffman Stadium, the Astros lead 3-1 as we move into the top of the third inning.
Pirates utility man Sean Rodriguez made headlines for all the wrong reasons after Wednesday’s Wild Card Game against the Cubs. After being ejected for his role in a benches-clearing scuffle, he took his frustrations out on the cooler in the Pirates’ dugout. If you haven’t seen it already, watch the video below…
That poor cooler never had a chance.
With the benefit of a few hours to decompress, Rodriguez issued the following apology on his Twitter account this afternoon:
It’s nice to see that Rodriguez has a sense of humor about the whole thing.
Adrian Beltre was in serious pain when he exited Game 1 of the ALDS against the Blue Jays and Jeff Wilson of the Fort Worth Star-Telegram reports that the veteran third baseman was diagnosed with a back strain following an MRI.
Beltre suffered the injury when he tried to break up a double play with a slide in the first inning. He stayed in the game initially and even received an anti-inflammatory injection, but his back locked up on him again after he hit an RBI single in the third. He was replaced by Hanser Alberto, who finished the game at third base.
The Rangers haven’t ruled out Beltre for Game 2 on Friday, but Joey Gallo and Ed Lucas are traveling to Toronto just in case a move needs to be made. They are obviously hoping that won’t be necessary.