Diving into the depths: Seattle Mariners

Leave a comment

This is part of a 30-article series looking at each team’s depth chart headed into spring training.
Seattle Mariners
Rotation
1. Felix Hernandez
2. Cliff Lee
3. Ryan Rowland-Smith
4. Ian Snell
5. Luke French
6. Garrett Olson
7. Doug Fister
8. Jason Vargas
9. Yusmeiro Petit
10. Ryan Feierabend
11. Gaby Hernandez
12. Andrew Baldwin
13. Dan Cortes
The Mariners have five legitimate options for the fifth spot in their rotation, but I can’t say I’m particularly fond of any of them. I still think it makes a lot of sense for the Mariners to go out and grab an upside guy, perhaps by re-signing Erik Bedard. It’s their only remaining need, and they should have the cash left to get something done.
Bullpen
1. David Aardsma
2. Mark Lowe
3. Shawn Kelley
4. Brandon League
5. Sean White
6. Jason Vargas
7. Yusmeiro Petit
8. Garrett Olson
9. Chad Cordero
10. Doug Fister
11. Cesar Jimenez
12. Anthony Varvaro
13. Kanekoa Texeira
14. Ricky Ortz
15. Josh Fields
The Brandon Morrow-for-League swap was controversial, but I think it could pay real dividends this season. I see League as the Mariners’ best reliever.
The top five should be locks, and Vargas figures to have a spot unless he’s in the rotation. After that, the Mariners will have to decide whether they prefer Petit’s ability to eat innings or Olson’s ability to serve as a second lefty. Alternatively, they could bring in a veteran lefty, perhaps Joe Beimel.


Catcher
1. Adam Moore
2. Rob Johnson
3. Josh Bard
4. Eliezer Alfonzo
First base
1. Casey Kotchman
2. Mike Carp
3. Jose Lopez
4. Tommy Everidge
5. Jack Hannahan
6. Brad Nelson
Second base
1. Jose Lopez
2. Matt Tuiasosopo
3. Josh Wilson
4. Chris Woodward
Third base
1. Chone Figgins
2. Jack Hannahan
3. Matt Tuiasosopo
4. Josh Wilson
Shortstop
1. Jack Wilson
2. Josh Wilson
3. Chris Woodward
There’s really no chance of Carp sticking as a backup, but he should get a crack at the first-base job if Kotchman fails to deliver. The alternative would be to have Lopez move to first, something he’s made clear he doesn’t want to do.
Left field
1. Milton Bradley
2. Michael Saunders
3. Ryan Langerhans
4. Ken Griffey Jr.
Center field
1. Franklin Gutierrez
2. Michael Saunders
3. Ryan Langerhans
4. Corey Patterson
Right field
1. Ichiro Suzuki
2. Michael Saunders
3. Ryan Langerhans
4. Corey Patterson
Designated hitter
1. Ken Griffey Jr.
2. Milton Bradley
3. Mike Carp
4. Tommy Everidge
5. Brad Nelson
If Saunders impresses this spring, it’s possible he’ll win the left-field job, pushing Bradley to the DH spot and Griffey to the bench. That’s probably the ideal scenario for the Mariners. Even if Saunders doesn’t win the job outright, it’d make sense to keep him around and give him three or four starts per week over Griffey and Bradley.

Jorge Posada highlights 16 one-and-done players on Hall of Fame ballot

NEW YORK, NY - JANUARY 24:  Jorge Posada addresses the media during a press conference to announces his retirement from the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on January 24, 2012 in the Bronx borough of  New York City.  (Photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images)
Mike Stobe/Getty Images
17 Comments

Former Yankees catcher Jorge Posada received only 17 total votes (3.8 percent) on the 2017 Hall of Fame ballot. Unfortunately, he is one of 16 players who fell short of the five percent vote threshold and is no longer eligible on the ballot. The other players are Magglio Ordonez (three votes, 0.7 percent), Edgar Renteria (two, 0.5 percent), Jason Varitek (two, 0.5 percent), Tim Wakefield (one, 0.2 percent), Casey Blake (zero), Pat Burrell (zero), Orlando Cabrera (zero), Mike Cameron (zero), J.D. Drew (zero), Carlos Guillen (zero), Derrek Lee (zero), Melvin Mora (zero), Arthur Rhodes (zero), Freddy Sanchez (zero), and Matt Stairs (zero).

Posada, 45, helped the Yankees win four World Series championships from 1998-2000 as well as 2009. He made the American League All-Star team five times, won five Silver Sluggers, and had a top-three AL MVP Award finish. Posada also hit 20 or more homers in eight seasons, finished with a career adjusted OPS (a.k.a. OPS+) of 121, and accrued 42.7 Wins Above Replacement in his 17-year career according to Baseball Reference.

While Posada’s OPS+ and WAR are lacking compared to other Hall of Famers — he was 18th of 34 eligible players in JAWS, Jay Jaffe’s WAR-based Hall of Fame metric — catchers simply have not put up the same kind of numbers that players at other positions have. That’s likely because catching is such a physically demanding position and often results in injuries and shortened careers. It is, perhaps, not an adjustment voters have thought to make when considering Posada’s eligibility.

Furthermore, Posada’s quick ouster is somewhat due to the crowded ballot. Most voters had a hard time figuring out which 10 players to vote for. Had Posada been on the ballot in a different era, writers likely would have found it easier to justify voting for him.

Posada joins Kenny Lofton in the “unjustly one-and-done” group.

Tim Raines, Jeff Bagwell, Ivan Rodriguez Elected to the Hall of Fame

1990:  Outfielder Tim Raines of the Montreal Expos in action. Mandatory Credit: Otto Greule  /Allsport
Getty Images
57 Comments

The 2017 induction class of the Baseball Hall of Fame was announced Wednesday evening and we have three inductees: Tim Raines, Jeff Bagwell and Ivan Rodriguez. Raines and Bagwell had to wait a good long while to get the call. Rodriguez is in on his first year of eligibility. But nowhere on the plaque will it say how long it took. All that matters now is that three of the greatest players of their respective generations finally have a place in Cooperstown.

Players must be named on 75% of the Baseball Writers Association of America’s ballots to get in. Raines was named on 86% of the ballots. Bagwell was named on 86.2%. Rodriguez was named on 76%. Non-inductees with significant vote totals include Trevor Hoffman at 74% and Vladimir Guerrero at  71.7%. The full results can be seen here.

Others not making the cut but still alive for next year, with vote totals in parenthesis: Edgar Martinez (58.6); Roger Clemens (54.1); Barry Bonds (53.8); Mike Mussina (51.8); Curt Schilling (45.0); Manny Ramirez (23.8); Larry Walker (21.9); Fred McGriff (21.7); Jeff Kent (16.7); Gary Sheffield (13.3%); Billy Wagner (10.2); and Sammy Sosa (8.6). Making his final appearance on the ballot was Lee Smith, who received 34.2% of the vote in his last year of eligibility. He will now be the business of the Veterans Committee.

Players who fell off the ballot due to not having the requisite 5% to stay on: Jorge Posada; Magglio Ordoñez; Edgar Renteria; Jason Varitek; Tim Wakefield; Casey Blake; Pat Burrell; Orlando Cabrera; Mike Cameron; J.D. Drew; Carlos Guillen; Derrek Lee; Melvin Mora; Arthur Rhodes; Freddy Sanchez; and Matt Stairs

We’ll have continued updates on today’s Hall of Fame vote throughout the evening and in the coming days. In the meantime, congratulations to this year’s inductees, Tim Raines, Jeff Bagwell and Ivan Rodriguez!