The Yankees' Roy Halladay math

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Buster Olney’s advice to Brian Cashman: ask your coaches and talent evaluators whether Joba and Phil will be big starters or shutdown relievers one day, then:

And if the smart people that Cashman trusts believe that Hughes and/or Chamberlain will be anything other than (A) dominant closers, or (B) No. 2-type AL East starters, well, then I’d call Toronto immediately and be ready to talk about trading one or perhaps even both of the young pitchers.

That’s fine as far as it goes, but the real deal breaker is probably not Joba and/or Hughes — them vs. Halladay is a classic bird in the hand decision — but whether or not to include someone like catching prospect Jesus Montero, who the Blue Jays will be asking for if they have any brains.

I understand the impulse to want to make this such a cut-and-dried decision on the Yankees’ part, but these kinds of deals are gambles, even for New York.

Report: Momentum in talks between Mariners, Jon Jay

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MLB.com’s Mark Feinsand reports that there is some momentum in talks between the Mariners and free agent outfielder Jon Jay.

Jay, 32, hit .296/.374/.375 in 433 plate appearances with the Cubs last season, which is adequate. He’s heralded more for his defense and his ability to play all three outfield spots.

The Mariners are losing center fielder Jarrod Dyson to free agency and likely don’t want to rely on Guillermo Heredia next season, hence the interest in Jay. The free agent class for center fielders is otherwise relatively weak.