In a piece for the New York Times, Jonah Keri makes a rather interesting and detailed case for the Yankees to get younger next season.
While the dangers of complacency are numerous, he highlights the 2002
Anaheim Angels as the classic cautionary tale for what Yankees general
manager Brian Cashman faces in the coming months.
After winning the World Series in
2002, the Angels replaced just two players during the offseason, a
roster that was largely built on a house of cards due to small sample
sizes from the likes of Scott Spiezio, Adam Kennedy, Ben Weber, Russ
Ortiz and Jarrod Washburn. In 2003, the Angels lost 22 more games,
finishing below .500 and in third place in the American League West.
Obviously the Yankees are a much
different case, with an ability to absorb a few bad contracts, but Keri
sees danger in the Yankees standing pat going into 2010. He writes that
few players are more likely to see a regression than those in their
late-30s following a bounce-back season. Hideki Matsui, Johnny Damon
and Andy Pettitte all played key roles in New York’s championship run
in 2009, however they are all 35 or older, with regression to the mean
far more likely than repeating their previous success.
Though he doesn’t offer alternatives to the players mentioned above, Keri argues that the Yankees should
try to add younger players to avoid such regression. As of now, it looks like the Bombers won’t heed his warning, as they hope to retain Damon while Pettitte is also expected to return. To Cashman’s credit, Matsui, the biggest injury risk due to his surgically-repaired knees, is on the back burner.
If he wasn’t 44 years-old we’d just call it a slump, but the way Bartolo Colon is pitching right now makes you wonder if the end is nigh.
Colon was shelled this afternoon, giving up seven runs on ten hits and walking three in five innings of work to take the loss against the Pirates. That brings his ERA up to 6.96 on the year. He’s allowed five or more runs in five of his ten starts and opposing batters are hitting .320 against him. One of the big reasons he had been so effective into his 40s had been his low walk rate — he led the NL in this category for the past two seasons — but he’s walking more guys this year than last.
The Braves picked up Colon for the reasons a lot of rebuilding teams pick up veteran starters: to provide innings and stability until the younger arms of the future can mature. Colon, however, has been the weakest link of the Braves rotation.
At some point, every baseball player reaches the end. Almost all of them do it before the age of 44. One hopes, given his history and popularity that Colon is just experiencing a rough patch and that, by mid season, he’ll be reliably pumping strikes into the zone the way he has the past few seasons. But with each bad start he registers this year, that’s seeming like more and more of a stretch.
Last night Braves reliever Josh Collmenter surrendered three homers and seven runs in the 10th inning of a loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates. He came into the game when it was tied 5-5 so, yeah, ouch. Today Collmenter is on his way to no longer being a Braves reliever as he has been designated for assignment.
Collmenter made 11 appearances for the Braves, going 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA in 17 innings. If he doesn’t latch on someplace else he can take heart that his final act in the big leagues was striking out former MVP Andrew McCutchen. If only he hadn’t surrendered consecutive homers to David Freese, Jose Osuna and Jordy Mercer just before that. Oh well. Take the good with the bad.
Right-hander Matt Wisler, who has been no great shakes in the bigs himself, was called up from Triple-A Gwinnett before today’s series finale against the Pirates. He’s currently throwing mopup duty for Bartolo Colon, who got shelled for seven runs in four innings.
Given how Colon is going, maybe the Braves will be thinking about some more transactions soon.