Free Agency Preview: First base & DH

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Free Agency Preview – Catchers
This is part two in a series of columns looking at this winter’s free agents, trade candidates and non-tender possibilities. I’ll be making predictions for the key free agents, but try not to take them too awfully seriously. Here are the first basemen and designated hitters.
Adam LaRoche (Braves) – Fortunately, LaRoche’s big surge as a member of the Braves — he hit .325 with 12 homers and 40 RBI in 57 games after being traded for the second time in 2009 — still wasn’t enough to make him a Type A free agent. In fact, not one of the free agent first basemen/designated hitters will require draft pick compensation.
That he’s just now turning 30 and he’s proven quite durable gives LaRoche a significant advantage over the other options at first base. His worst OPS in six big-league seasons was a 775 mark in 2005, and he’s a steady defender. He’s the safest available choice and the only one worthy of a three-year deal. Besides the Braves, it looks like the Orioles, Mariners, Mets, Giants and Diamondbacks have the biggest needs at first base. However, most of those teams have quality first base prospects on the way and will target one-year options. That might make Baltimore and San Francisco the best first for LaRoche. Prediction: Orioles – three years, $21 million
Nick Johnson (Marlins) – Johnson failed to recover his power last season after missing so much of 2008 with wrist problems, but he did manage to play in 133 games and get on base at a .426 clip. Even if he’s no longer a candidate to hit 20-25 homers, he’s still the best player in this group of first basemen. Of course, he’s also the most fragile. He’s never played in 150 games, and he’s been held under 100 games four times in his eight seasons. He’ll likely get a two-year deal anyway, but it won’t be for big money. Not helping his case is that most of the teams that particularly value OBP are already set at first base. Prediction: Mariners – two years, $12 million
Carlos Delgado (Mets) – The Mets probably wouldn’t have paid the price to bring back a healthy Delgado in 2010, but the 37-year-old will be forced to take quite a discount after hip surgery cost him the final 132 games of last season. He’d seem to make a fine stopgap for one of the teams waiting on a first base prospect. However, that will depend on whether he’s still going to be able to field his position. The Mets are the ones with all of the info about his condition, so if they’re not interested in re-signing him, other NL teams would be smart to stay away. Prediction: Giants – one year, $7 million
Russell Branyan (Mariners) – Branyan gave the Mariners 31 homers for a mere $1.4 million last season, so it’s not surprising that Seattle wants him back. It’s also not surprising that Branyan is holding out for a multiyear deal this time around. He would have had a much better chance of getting one if he didn’t miss the final five weeks of last season with back problems. Branyan’s 2009 performance wasn’t necessarily a fluke, but his slumps get especially ugly and his extreme strikeout rate will cause many teams to shy away. Working under the theory that it’s really tough to hit homers at Citi Field — whether it’s true or not — the Mets might think it makes sense to go with someone who hits bombs. Prediction: Mets – one year, $5 million
Hank Blalock (Rangers) – One of the game’s best young players in 2003 and ’04, Blalock has now gone five straight seasons without being both healthy and productive He excelled in 2007 and 2008, but he played in just 123 games between the two seasons. In the other three years, he finished with OPSs of 749, 726 and 736. Also needing to be weighed in is that he may no longer an option at third base and that he’s a career .245/.300/.414 hitter away from Arlington. Still, he’s just turning 29 and his power hasn’t gone anywhere. He’ll probably need to accept a one-year deal in order to rebuild his value, and that will make him worth trying. Ideally, the team that signs him would also get an option for 2011, just in case he does come through with a big season. Prediction: Diamondbacks – one year, $4.5 million
Jim Thome (Dodgers) – Thome’s back seems to be deteriorating to the point at which he’s no longer even an everyday designated hitter, but he still managed an 864 OPS and 23 homers in 345 at-bats before the White Sox sent him to Los Angeles for the final month of last season. The move was welcomed by Thome, since the White Sox were out of contention, but the 39-year-old is open to returning to Chicago now. It’d be a surprise if the two sides couldn’t work something out. Prediction: White Sox – one year, $4 million
Aubrey Huff (Tigers) – Huff appeared to be in position for another multiyear deal when he hit a respectable .275/.342/.450 over the first three months of last season. Unfortunately, a July slump followed and he was particularly terrible after being sent from Baltimore to Detroit, coming in at .189/.265/.302 in 106 at-bats the rest of the way. Needless to say, he cost himself a lot of money in the process. He should land another starting job, but there’s a good chance he’ll be one of the last first basemen off the board. Prediction: Braves – one year, $3.5 million
Other free agents: Jason Giambi (Rockies), Chad Tracy (Diamondbacks), Mike Sweeney (Mariners), Ross Gload (Marlins), Kevin Millar (Blue Jays), Nomar Garciaparra (Athletics), Daryle Ward (Nationals), Robb Quinlan (Angels), Chris Shelton (Mariners), Dmitri Young (Nationals), Jeff Bailey (Red Sox), Ryan Shealy (Royals), Justin Huber (Twins), Tony Clark (FA), Doug Mientkiewicz (Dodgers), Joe Koshansky (Brewers), Bryan LaHair (Mariners), Greg Norton (Braves), Kevin Barker (Reds)
Giambi was a bust as Oakland’s first baseman, but he excelled in a brief stint as a bench player with the Rockies, driving in 11 runs in just 24 at-bats. While his defensive limitations are obvious, there are likely several NL teams that would welcome his presence off the bench. … Tracy has been a big disappointment since returning from knee surgery in 2008, but he’s a 29-year-old with a career OPS of 792 and he’ll come awfully cheap. It will be interesting to see who takes a chance on him. Cleveland is my guess.
Trade candidates: Adrian Gonzalez (Padres), Prince Fielder (Brewers), James Loney (Dodgers), Lyle Overbay (Blue Jays), Jorge Cantu (Marlins), Casey Kotchman (Red Sox), Travis Ishikawa (Giants), Ryan Garko (Giants), Gaby Sanchez (Marlins), Jake Fox (Cubs), Micah Hoffpauir (Cubs), Jeff Larish (Tigers), Juan Miranda (Yankees), Steve Pearce (Pirates), Oscar Salazar (Padres), Kila Ka’aihue (Royals), Josh Whitesell (Diamondbacks), Jordan Brown (Indians)
Can the Red Sox or Mets pry Gonzalez away from the Padres? He seems like the better bet to go than Fielder, but since there’s two years left on his deal, there’s no pressure on San Diego to pull the trigger now. New GM Jed Hoyer won’t want to make a Gonzalez trade his first move with the team unless there’s a really sweet deal on the table. … Loney’s name popped up when the Dodgers were supposedly in on Gonzalez at midseason. First base seemed a reasonable place to look for an upgrade then. However, between Loney’s strong finish and the money problems expected to result from the Dodgers’ ownership mess, a move seems pretty unlikely now.
Overbay is expected to exit Toronto, with Adam Lind likely stepping in at first base. His name has already come up in rumors with the Diamondbacks, Mets and Mariners, and it’d be no surprise to see him connected with the Giants and Braves soon. That he has only one year and $7 million left on his deal makes him rather attractive. … Cantu is likely due around $5.5 million-$6 million next season, so a move is possible. However, the Marlins should have the flexibility to keep him if they trade Dan Uggla. … The Cubs can’t hold on to both Fox and Hoffpauir when they’re scared to play either in the outfield. As the left-handed hitter on a team with a right-handed first baseman, Hoffpauir seems like the better fit of the two.

Non-tender candidates: Casey Kotchman (Red Sox), Mike Jacobs (Royals), Ryan Garko (Giants), Shelley Duncan (Yankees), Juan Miranda (Yankees), Michael Aubrey (Orioles), Aaron Bates (Red Sox), Barbaro Canizares (Braves)
The Jeremy Hermida acquisition didn’t seem to bode well for Kotchman’s chances of sticking in Boston, as the team can only keep so many $3 million bench players. Free agency might be the best thing for Kotchman anyway. I still view the 26-year-old as a long-term regular. … Jacobs won’t be brought back by the Royals, and it’s doubtful that anyone will trade for him when he figures to make $3.5 million or so in arbitration. … Garko is a first-time arbitration eligible player, and he is worth his likely $1.5 million-$2 million salary. The Giants, though, would have little reason to keep him around if they went out and got a full-time first baseman. Odds are that he wouldn’t last long in free agency. Since every notable first baseman in free agency is left-handed, his right-handed bat would be pretty attractive.
2010-11 free agents: Albert Pujols (Cardinals)*, Adrian Gonzalez (Padres)*, Carlos Pena (Rays), Lance Berkman (Astros)*, Derrek Lee (Cubs), David Ortiz (Red Sox)*, Paul Konerko (White Sox), Jorge Cantu (Marlins), Lyle Overbay (Blue Jays), Ken Griffey Jr. (Mariners), Wes Helms (Marlins)
2011 options: Pujols – $16 million ($5 million buyout), Gonzalez – $5.5 million, Berkman – $15 million ($2 million buyout), Ortiz – $12.5 million
2011-12 free agents: Albert Pujols (Cardinals), Prince Fielder (Brewers), Adrian Gonzalez (Padres), Ryan Howard (Phillies), Todd Helton (Rockies)*, Casey Kotchman (Red Sox), Mike Jacobs (Royals)
2012 options: Helton – $23 million ($4.6 million buyout)

Cubs expected to host an All-Star Game in the near future

A general view of Wrigley Field and the newly renovated bleachers during the second inning of a baseball game between the the Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds Thursday, June 11, 2015,  in Chicago. Chicago won 6-3. (AP Photo/Paul Beaty)
AP Photo/Paul Beaty
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The 2016-18 All-Star Games are spoken for, but the Cubs could play host not long thereafter according to commissioner Rob Manfred, Bruce Levine of CBS Chicago reports.

The Padres are hosting at Petco Park this year, the Marlins will host at Marlins Park next season, and the Nationals will host in 2018 at Nationals Park. That will make four consecutive National League hosts and five if the Cubs get it in 2019. In the past, the National and American Leagues have alternated hosting privileges. That is sort of important now since the league that wins the All-Star Game gets home field advantage in the World Series.

The Cubs last hosted the All-Star Game in 1990 and have hosted a total of three times (1962 and 1947 being the other years) since its inception in 1933.

Wrigley Field has been undergoing renovations which are expected to be completed by the 2019 season. Manfred said that the Cubs hosting the All-Star Game “will provide the Cubs and Ricketts family a chance to showcase the unbelievable renovation they are in the midst of doing for Wrigley field.”

Update: Here’s a table showing the last time each team hosted the All-Star Game.

Team Park Last Hosted Yrs Since Notes
Dodgers Dodger Stadum 1980 35
Nationals Olympic Stadium (Expos) 1982 33 2018 host
Athletics Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum 1987 28
Cubs Wrigley Field 1990 25
Blue Jays SkyDome 1991 24
Padres Jack Murphy Stadium 1992 23 2016 host
Orioles Oriole Park at Camden Yards 1993 22
Rangers The Ballpark in Arlington 1995 20
Phillies Veterans Stadium 1996 19
Indians Jacobs Field 1997 18
Rockies Coors Field 1998 17
Red Sox Fenway Park 1999 16
Braves Turner Field 2000 15
Mariners Safeco Field 2001 14
Brewers Miller Park 2002 13
White Sox U.S. Cellular Field 2003 12
Astros Minute Maid Park 2004 11
Tigers Comerica Park 2005 10
Pirates PNC Park 2006 9
Giants AT&T Park 2007 8
Yankees Yankee Stadium 2008 7
Cardinals Busch Stadium 2009 6
Angels Angels Stadium of Anaheim 2010 5
D’Backs Chase Field 2011 4
Royals Kauffman Stadium 2012 3
Mets Citi Field 2013 2
Twins Target Field 2014 1
Reds Great American Ball Park 2015 0
Marlins Never Hosted 2017 host
Rays Never Hosted

Kyle Hendricks and Adam Warren will compete for No. 5 spot in Cubs’ rotation

Chicago Cubs pitcher Kyle Hendricks throws during the first inning of Game 3 of the National League baseball championship series against the New York Mets Tuesday, Oct. 20, 2015, in Chicago. (AP Photo/David J. Phillip)
AP Photo/David J. Phillip
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Expect Kyle Hendricks and Adam Warren to battle it out for the fifth spot in the Cubs’ starting rotation this spring, writes Gordon Wittenmyer for the Chicago Sun-Times. Clayton Richard could serve as a fallback option as well.

Hendricks, 26, pitched well in his first full season in 2015. He finished with a 3.95 ERA and a 167/43 K/BB ratio over 180 innings. That was a solid follow-up to his rookie campaign in 2014, when he posted a 2.46 ERA over 13 starts.

The Cubs acquired Warren, 28, from the Yankees in the Starlin Castro trade. He contributed both out of the rotation and the bullpen in the Bronx this past season, pitching 131 1/3 innings with a 3.29 ERA and a 104/39 K/BB ratio.

One through four, the Cubs’ rotation is solid with defending National League Cy Young Award winner Jake Arrieta, Jon Lester, John Lackey, and Jason Hammel.

Mets GM Sandy Alderson plans to limit David Wright to 130 or fewer games

David Wright
AP Photo/Kathy Willens
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Mets third baseman David Wright missed four months of the 2015 season due to spinal stenosis. In other words, Wright dealt with a narrowing of his spinal column. Going forward, the Mets plan to be cautious with Wright so as not to overuse him.

As ESPN’s Adam Rubin reports, Mets GM Sandy Alderson plans to have the 33-year-old Wright play in no more than 130 games. Alderson said, “We’re gonna make sure that he’s not overworked. So it’s important for us to find somebody who can play 30 games or so at third base when he’s not in there. But I think we have to be realistic, and not expect that he’s gonna be an absolute everyday [player] out there playing 150 or 155 games. That’s not gonna happen.”

Wilmer Flores played 26 games at third base in his rookie season in 2013, so he could back up Wright as needed. But Alderson mentioned that because Wright would mostly sit against right-handed pitchers, the switch-hitting Neil Walker or Asdrubal Cabrera could get the call at the hot corner.

When he was on the field last season, Wright hit a productive .289/.379/.434 with five home runs and 17 RBI in 174 plate appearances.

Marlins still searching for starting pitching depth

Aaron Harang
AP Photo/Matt Slocum
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The Marlins would like to add “another pitcher or two” before pitchers and catchers report to Roger Dean Stadium in Jupiter, Florida, MLB.com’s Joe Frisaro writes. Among starting pitchers available, Kyle Lohse, Aaron Harang, and Alfredo Simon are candidates for the Marlins, but they may hold out for the possibility of inking a major league contract. Tim Lincecum and Cliff Lee are other potential candidates, per Frisaro.

This offseason, the Marlins signed Wei-Yin Chen to a five-year, $80 million deal and Edwin Jackson for the major league minimum. The back of the rotation, though, is still a question mark as Jarred Cosart, Adam Conley, and Justin Nicolino will compete with Jackson for two spots. David Phelps is dealing with an elbow injury and may or not be ready by Opening Day, but he could function in a swingman capacity as well.