What we're watching: Halladay takes on the Yankees

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– It’s the fourth of the month, which of course means that Roy Halladay is facing the Bombers. He’ll be attempting to halt the Yankees’ seven-game winning streak. He’s come up short in his last two starts against New York, giving up five runs in seven innings to take a no-decision in the Jays’ loss on July 4 and five runs in a complete-game defeat on Aug. 4. The opposition tonight will be Joba Chamberlain, for a couple of innings anyway. Chamberlain has pitched six, five, four and three innings over the course of his last four starts. It’s part of the Yankees’ new plan to guarantee that he’ll be healthy and terribly inconsistent in the postseason.
– Adam Wainwright can and should become the year’s first 17-game winner when he faces the Pirates tonight. Including a win over Pittsburgh on Aug. 8, he’s gone 4-0 over his last five starts. The Pirates have lost seven straight to the struggling Brewers and the abysmal Reds, and they now own the game’s third-worst record ahead of only the Nationals and Royals.
– Freddy Garcia, who was roughed up by the Royals in the first start of his latest comeback, has turned in consecutive quality starts against the Red Sox and Yankees. He’ll get another test tonight when he tries his assortment of breaking balls against a Red Sox team that faced him just 10 days ago. Garcia is back throwing in the high-80s consistently now, but he’s relying more on his slider and changeup than his fastball. If he can handle Boston’s lineup again while using the same assortment, it’d be an encouraging development as he prepares to reenter free agency.
Game of the Night
Detroit vs. Tampa Bay – Unless one wants to pretend the White Sox still have a chance, then this is the only series this weekend involving two contenders. Of course, even that’s debatable, given that the Rays fell six games back of the Red Sox in the wild card after losing to Boston on Thursday. Tampa Bay will send Rookie of the Year contender Jeff Niemann to the mound in the series opener against Tigers ace Justin Verlander. It’ll be a rematch of an Aug. 30 game that the Tigers won 4-3, even though Niemann (2 R in 7 IP) turned in the slightly better performance than Verlander (3 R in 8 IP). The Rays may have the edge this time, given that the game will be played in St. Pete. They’re 43-23 at home this year, while the Tigers are 27-39 on the road.

Report: Mark Trumbo signs three-year, $37.5 million contract with Orioles

TORONTO, ON - OCTOBER 04:  Mark Trumbo #45 of the Baltimore Orioles runs the bases after hitting a two-run home run in the fourth inning against the Toronto Blue Jays during the American League Wild Card game at Rogers Centre on October 4, 2016 in Toronto, Canada.  (Photo by Vaughn Ridley/Getty Images)
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Update #2 (6:21 PM EST): Make that $37.5 million, per Heyman.

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Update (6:02 PM EST): The deal is for “around” $37 million with deferrals that lower the present-day value, per Jeff Passan of Yahoo Sports.

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Jon Heyman of FanRag Sports reports that free agent 1B/OF Mark Trumbo is close to a deal with the Orioles. He first reported that the two sides were back in touch earlier on Thursday afternoon. According to Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports, the deal is expected to be for three years and under $40 million.

Trumbo’s market hasn’t developed as he expected. The slugger turned down the Orioles’ $17.2 million qualifying offer back in November. Then the Orioles reportedly made a four-year contract offer to him in December but pulled it off the table. Most recently, a report indicated that Trumbo lowered his expectations to a three-year deal in the $40-50 million range.

Trumbo, 31, led the majors with 47 homers for the Orioles this past season. He also hit a solid .256/.316/.433 with 108 RBI in 667 plate appearances. With Trumbo back in the fold and some slight offensive upgrades made, the Orioles figure to have a formidable offense in 2017.

Astros avoid arbitration with Mike Fiers

SEATTLE, WA - SEPTEMBER 17: Starting pitcher Mike Fiers #54 of the Houston Astros walks to the dugout after pitching an inning during a game against the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field on September 17, 2016 in Seattle, Washington. The Astros won the game 2-1. (Photo by Stephen Brashear/Getty Images)
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The Astros avoided arbitration with pitcher Mike Fiers, agreeing on a $3.45 million salary for the 2017 season, per Jake Kaplan of the Houston Chronicle. The right-hander was in his first of three years of arbitration eligibility.

Fiers, 31, made 30 starts and one relief appearance for the Astros in 2016. He finished the year with a 4.48 ERA and a 134/42 K/BB ratio in 168 2/3 innings.

Fiers had a much better showing in 2015 as well as in limited action in 2014, so the Astros are hoping he rediscovers that effectiveness going forward. He’ll slot into the back of the starting rotation.