Capps' role hardly the problem

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I liked this line from Tim Brown’s Yahoo column over the weekend:

Matt Capps’ ERA is pretty ugly these days, but more than one scout
believes he could be miscast in the closer role and could be very
useful as a setup man.

The ugly ERA is right, as Capps is currently sitting at 6.00 in 33
innings. But the role being the problem? Capps is 20-for-22 saving
games. He has a 3.86 ERA in save situations and a 9.75 ERA in non-save
situations.

Capps’ problem is that his command has gone from exceptional to
mediocre. He’s always lacked a true strikeout pitch, and that he’s been
a well above average reliever over the course of his career is due
mostly to his ability to spot his low-90s fastball. It’s hard to see
how a role change will help his ability to paint the outside corner.

No one pounds the zone anymore

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“Work fast and throw strikes” has long been the top conventional wisdom for those preaching pitching success. The “work fast” part of that has increasingly gone by the wayside, however, as pitchers take more and more time to throw pitches in an effort to max out their effort and, thus, their velocity with each pitch.

Now, as Ben Lindbergh of The Ringer reports, the “throw strikes” part of it is going out of style too:

Pitchers are throwing fewer pitches inside the strike zone than ever previously recorded . . . A decade ago, more than half of all pitches ended up in the strike zone. Today, that rate has fallen below 47 percent.

There are a couple of reasons for this. Most notable among them, Lindbergh says, being pitchers’ increasing reliance on curves, sliders and splitters as primary pitches, with said pitches not being in the zone by design. Lindbergh doesn’t mention it, but I’d guess that an increased emphasis on catchers’ framing plays a role too, with teams increasingly selecting for catchers who can turn balls that are actually out of the zone into strikes. If you have one of those beasts, why bother throwing something directly over the plate?

There is an unintended downside to all of this: a lack of action. As Lindbergh notes — and as you’ve not doubt noticed while watching games — there are more walks and strikeouts, there is more weak contact from guys chasing bad pitches and, as a result, games and at bats are going longer.

As always, such insights are interesting. As is so often the case these days, however, such insights serve as an unpleasant reminder of why the on-field product is so unsatisfying in so many ways in recent years.