Holliday for Wallace makes perfect sense

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The Cardinals thought their offense was set when they acquired Mark
DeRosa from the Indians, but DeRosa injured his wrist and neither Chris
Duncan nor Rick Ankiel proved able to shake lingering injuries that
have left them unable to contribute offensively. Now the team has to
decide whether it’s worth mortgaging even more of the future to bring
in Matt Holliday from the Athletics.

The only return that makes sense for the A’s is 2008 first-round
pick Brett Wallace, a player Oakland passed over with the 12th
selection last year. They chose Jemile Weeks, Rickie’s younger brother,
instead, leaving Wallace for the Cardinals at No. 13.

The Wallace selection for St. Louis seemed awfully similar to
Milwaukee’s pick of Matt LaPorta the previous season. Even if the
player wasn’t a great fit for the team, picking the potent college bat
provided a great piece of trade bait. LaPorta, of course, was sent to
Cleveland for CC Sabathia last year. Now Wallace could go for another
superstar in his walk year.

The big factor that all of the teams are weighing these days is
draft picks. The Cardinals wouldn’t be desperate enough to give up six
years of Wallace for 2 1/2 months of Holliday straight up. But Wallace
for Holliday and two high draft picks? That’s likely worth doing.
Similarly, the A’s can’t settle for a prospect less than Wallace. Even
if they won’t have anything to play for in August and September, they
value the picks greatly.

Wallace is made expendable in St. Louis because of his glove. Most
projected him to move off third base in the pros, and while he’s still
playing the hot corner at the moment, he doesn’t have many convinced
that he’ll last at the position. Fortunately, he should possess the bat
to carry first. His .298/.351/.431 line in 61 games since being moved
up to Triple-A is hardly awe-inspiring, but it’s pretty good for
someone in his first pro season. He projects as a legitimate .300
hitter with 20-25 homer ability.

Holliday’s addition would give the Cardinals one of the game’s best lineups:

2B Skip Schumaker
3B Mark DeRosa
1B Albert Pujols
LF Matt Holliday
RF Ryan Ludwick
C Yadier Molina
CF Colby Rasmus
P
SS Brendan Ryan

The idea of using Troy Glaus as an outfielder would die, but he
probably wasn’t going to be an option as a regular anyway. He could be
the game’s scariest pinch-hitter come playoff time and maybe an
occasional option at third. Rick Ankiel, Khalil Greene and Julio Lugo
can join him on the game’s most expensive bench.

Since the price tag for Holliday doesn’t approach what the Jays
would want for Roy Halladay, I think he’s the right pickup for St.
Louis. It’d leave them talent left over to go get a reliever if they
desire, and they might even be able to talk Oakland into kicking in
some cash.

Report: Orioles interested in Lance Lynn

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The Orioles singlehandedly kept the rumor mill churning this weekend. MLB Network’s Jon Morosi reports that the club is interested in making a play for free agent right-hander Lance Lynn, adding him to a list of potential candidates that also includes free agent righty Alex Cobb. The two are expected to command similar contracts in free agency, but Morosi notes that the Orioles may prefer Cobb based on his familiarity with the AL East.

Lynn, 30, is two years removed from Tommy John surgery on his right elbow. Despite missing the 2016 season, he bounced back with a respectable 11-8 record in 33 starts and complemented his efforts with a 3.43 ERA, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.4 SO/9 over 186 1/3 innings for the 2017 Cardinals. He lost several days with a blister on his pitching hand in early September, but managed to avoid any major injuries and can reasonably be expected to shoulder another heavy workload in 2018.

Lynn may not be the Orioles’ first choice to beef up their starting rotation, but there’s no doubt that he’ll be in high demand as one of very few viable starters on the market this winter. The veteran righty rejected his one-year, $17.4 million qualifying offer from the Cardinals on Thursday and will likely be seeking a multi-year contract, one that Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch estimates around five years and $100+ million. If the Orioles are willing to bite that bullet, they’ll still need to compensate the Cardinals with their third pick in next year’s draft.