Homer Bailey has yet to experience any success in the majors, posting a
7.01 ERA over 18 starts in various stints with the Reds during the past
three seasons, and his stock and raw stuff have both declined since he
was considered one of the elite pitching prospects in baseball just a
couple years ago.
Bailey simply hasn’t been able to throw strikes to big-league
hitters, handing out 51 walks in 86 innings, and allowed six runs on
three hits and six walks over 4.1 innings in his lone start with the
Reds this season. However, since being sent back to Triple-A following
that ugly outing against the Indians on May 23 he’s been fantastic.
Upon returning to Louisville he added a split-fingered fastball
to his repertoire while going 5-0 with a 0.81 ERA and 40/10 K/BB ratio
in 44.1 innings spread over six starts. Of course, this is Bailey’s
third go-around at Triple-A and he has a 3.66 ERA with 237 strikeouts
in 268 career innings there, so his success of late certainly doesn’t
mean that he won’t implode again in the majors.
With that said, the Reds are in need of a starter for Saturday’s game
and Bailey seems like the obvious pick to face the same Indians lineup
that he struggled against last month. He no longer looks like a
potential ace, but Bailey is still just 23 years old and with 45 starts
at Triple-A under his belt it may be time to simply let him sink or
swim in the big leagues.