Thursday's thoughts: Hanigan seals his fate

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– You know Dusty Baker didn’t want to do it, but with Ramon Hernandez
getting a day off, Ryan Hanigan was moved up to the fifth spot against
the Braves. It was the first time this season that Hanigan, who entered
with a .395 OBP, hit higher than seventh. Most of his starts had come
from the eighth spot. Sure enough, Hanigan went on to clog up the bases
in three of his four plate appearances as the Reds were shut out by the
Braves. He’ll almost surely be benched or at least dropped in the
lineup on Friday.

– The Mariners could learn something from their rookie first
baseman: Mike Carp has walked twice in five plate appearances since his
callup Wednesday. His teammates have walked twice and fanned 21 times
in those two games.

– The Jays used seven relievers in their win over Phillies, and it
was the one that made his season debut, Jeremy Accardo, who earned the
save. Brandon League cost Jason Frasor the opportunity when he couldn’t
get through the eighth cleanly. Frasor ended up coming in to get the
final out of the eighth, but not before he allowed a game-tying single.
He then left with the pitcher’s spot in the order due up, but he
probably would have come out anyway, since the Phillies had Chase Utley
and Ryan Howard starting the ninth. B.J. Ryan took over with the Jays
back on top by one, retired one of the two and then made way for
Accardo, who allowed only a single while finishing up. It’s probably
not a sign of things to come, but Gaston did have the right idea in
playing matchups against the unbalanced Philly lineup.

– Ozzie Guillen will be second-guessed after pulling Gavin Floyd for
a pinch-hitter with the White Sox up 5-1 in the eighth. Floyd was at
just 90 pitches, and he hadn’t given up more than a single all day.
Scott Linebrink, with some help from a Chris Getz error, ended up
blowing the lead in the eighth, and the White Sox lost 6-5 in the
ninth.

– Let’s see just how cruel the baseball gods are: Chris Young was up
to .276/.400/.569 for the month before suffering a leg injury in the
midst of a 4-for-4 game against the Royals. He entered June at
.178/.220/.313 this season.

Jorge Posada highlights 16 one-and-done players on Hall of Fame ballot

NEW YORK, NY - JANUARY 24:  Jorge Posada addresses the media during a press conference to announces his retirement from the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on January 24, 2012 in the Bronx borough of  New York City.  (Photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images)
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Former Yankees catcher Jorge Posada received only 17 total votes (3.8 percent) on the 2017 Hall of Fame ballot. Unfortunately, he is one of 16 players who fell short of the five percent vote threshold and is no longer eligible on the ballot. The other players are Magglio Ordonez (three votes, 0.7 percent), Edgar Renteria (two, 0.5 percent), Jason Varitek (two, 0.5 percent), Tim Wakefield (one, 0.2 percent), Casey Blake (zero), Pat Burrell (zero), Orlando Cabrera (zero), Mike Cameron (zero), J.D. Drew (zero), Carlos Guillen (zero), Derrek Lee (zero), Melvin Mora (zero), Arthur Rhodes (zero), Freddy Sanchez (zero), and Matt Stairs (zero).

Posada, 45, helped the Yankees win four World Series championships from 1998-2000 as well as 2009. He made the American League All-Star team five times, won five Silver Sluggers, and had a top-three AL MVP Award finish. Posada also hit 20 or more homers in eight seasons, finished with a career adjusted OPS (a.k.a. OPS+) of 121, and accrued 42.7 Wins Above Replacement in his 17-year career according to Baseball Reference.

While Posada’s OPS+ and WAR are lacking compared to other Hall of Famers — he was 18th of 34 eligible players in JAWS, Jay Jaffe’s WAR-based Hall of Fame metric — catchers simply have not put up the same kind of numbers that players at other positions have. That’s likely because catching is such a physically demanding position and often results in injuries and shortened careers. It is, perhaps, not an adjustment voters have thought to make when considering Posada’s eligibility.

Furthermore, Posada’s quick ouster is somewhat due to the crowded ballot. Most voters had a hard time figuring out which 10 players to vote for. Had Posada been on the ballot in a different era, writers likely would have found it easier to justify voting for him.

Posada joins Kenny Lofton in the “unjustly one-and-done” group.

Tim Raines, Jeff Bagwell, Ivan Rodriguez Elected to the Hall of Fame

1990:  Outfielder Tim Raines of the Montreal Expos in action. Mandatory Credit: Otto Greule  /Allsport
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The 2017 induction class of the Baseball Hall of Fame was announced Wednesday evening and we have three inductees: Tim Raines, Jeff Bagwell and Ivan Rodriguez. Raines and Bagwell had to wait a good long while to get the call. Rodriguez is in on his first year of eligibility. But nowhere on the plaque will it say how long it took. All that matters now is that three of the greatest players of their respective generations finally have a place in Cooperstown.

Players must be named on 75% of the Baseball Writers Association of America’s ballots to get in. Raines was named on 86% of the ballots. Bagwell was named on 86.2%. Rodriguez was named on 76%. Non-inductees with significant vote totals include Trevor Hoffman at 74% and Vladimir Guerrero at  71.7%. The full results can be seen here.

Others not making the cut but still alive for next year, with vote totals in parenthesis: Edgar Martinez (58.6); Roger Clemens (54.1); Barry Bonds (53.8); Mike Mussina (51.8); Curt Schilling (45.0); Manny Ramirez (23.8); Larry Walker (21.9); Fred McGriff (21.7); Jeff Kent (16.7); Gary Sheffield (13.3%); Billy Wagner (10.2); and Sammy Sosa (8.6). Making his final appearance on the ballot was Lee Smith, who received 34.2% of the vote in his last year of eligibility. He will now be the business of the Veterans Committee.

Players who fell off the ballot due to not having the requisite 5% to stay on: Jorge Posada; Magglio Ordoñez; Edgar Renteria; Jason Varitek; Tim Wakefield; Casey Blake; Pat Burrell; Orlando Cabrera; Mike Cameron; J.D. Drew; Carlos Guillen; Derrek Lee; Melvin Mora; Arthur Rhodes; Freddy Sanchez; and Matt Stairs

We’ll have continued updates on today’s Hall of Fame vote throughout the evening and in the coming days. In the meantime, congratulations to this year’s inductees, Tim Raines, Jeff Bagwell and Ivan Rodriguez!