Is Big Papi poised to break out?

Leave a comment

David Ortiz has a six-game hitting streak. It’s modest as these things
go — he’s 7 for 25 with a double and a homer that someone described to
me as a cheapie — but .280 over six games is nothing to sneeze at when
you’re having the kind of year Ortiz is.

Now comes someone — specifically Will Moller at The Yankee Dollar blog — suggesting that maybe Ortiz is about to turn the corner due to the fact that his BABIP is way, way lower than one would expect given how many line drives he’s hitting:

If Ortiz was .030 above or below his expected BABIP, I’d be inclined
to view it as mostly statistical noise. .100 is absurd. He’s still
making contact, and he’s putting balls in play, hard . . . A deeper
analysis would probably uncover that Ortiz has a bigtime hole in his
swing that didn’t exist before, that is being exploited by opposing
pitchers. But it’s bizarre to see a player suddenly hitting a ton more
line drives, walking less, and striking out more . . . Long story
short: Big Papi is going to stop being the butt of so many jokes before
the year is out.

I’m savvy enough to understand that flukey-strange BABIP numbers like
that are often signs that bad luck is afoot, but going much further
than that is above my pay grade. And the increased strikeouts/fewer
walks Moller notices could be evidence that Papi is just being
challenged way more than most players now, and that his guesses are
simply getting slightly better.

It continues to strike me, however, that Ortiz can’t keep this
April-May performance up forever and that some sort of improvement has
to happen. Perhaps what Moller noticed here is evidence that that
improvement is already occurring, even if we haven’t really seen it
reflected in the box score as of yet.

CC Sabathia wants to pitch beyond 2017

BOSTON, MA - SEPTEMBER 18: CC Sabathia #52 of the New York Yankees pitches during the fifth inning against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on September 18, 2016 in Boston, Massachusetts. The Red Sox won 5-4. (Photo by Rich Gagnon/Getty Images)
Rich Gagnon/Getty Images
2 Comments

CC Sabathia‘s contract with the Yankees expires after the 2017 season but the lefty feels that he has enough left in the tank to pitch in 2018 and beyond, Mark Feinsand of the New York Daily News reports.

Sabathia said, “I just know myself. I know I feel like it’s not my time yet. Barring any crazy injuries I know I can pitch past next year. I feel like this is just the beginning of what I’m trying to do. I feel like there’s a lot more still to learn and a lot better to get. It’s exciting.”

The 36-year-old lefty currently holds a 4.02 ERA and a 144/63 K/BB ratio in 172 1/3 innings. It’s his best and healthiest season since 2012. He battled a knee injury last season and checked into rehab for alcohol addiction last October. Sabathia said that being treated for his addiction put him “in a good spot.”

Sabathia is owed $25 million through a vesting option for the 2017 season.

Red Sox lose on Mark Teixeira’s walkoff grand slam, but still clinch AL East

NEW YORK, NY - SEPTEMBER 28:  Dustin Pedroia #15 and pinch runner Marco Hernandez #41 of the Boston Red Sox celebrate after both scored in the eighth inning against the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on September 28, 2016 in the Bronx borough of New York City.  (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)
Jim McIsaac/Getty Images
5 Comments

 

The Red Sox can thank the Orioles for not having to fight to clinch the division on Thursday or later. The Orioles came from behind to defeat the Blue Jays 3-2 on Wednesday evening, clinching the AL East for the Red Sox.

A few minutes after that game went final, the Red Sox squandered a 3-0 lead taken in the eighth inning, culminating in a walk-off grand slam by Mark Teixeira in the bottom of the ninth inning. Closer Craig Kimbrel started the ninth, but didn’t have control over any of his pitches. He allowed a leadoff single followed by three consecutive walks to force in a run. Joe Kelly relieved Kimbrel and seemed to be close to wriggling out of the jam, getting Starlin Castro to strike out looking and Didi Gregorius to pop up. But after starting Teixeira with a first-pitch curve ball for a strike, Teixera clobbered a 99 MPH fastball, sending it over the fence in right-center to end the game.

For the Yankees, the come-from-behind victory was crucial as it staved off Wild Card elimination for one more day.

This is the first time the Red Sox have clinched the AL East since 2013, also the last year they won the World Series.