Good news, bad news for first-place teams

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Doug Miller of MLB.com crunched the numbers
and found that since 1995–when MLB expanded to six divisions–66.3
percent of the teams in first place on June 1 have gone on to win the
division.

On the surface that sounds like great news for the Yankees, Tigers,
Rangers, Phillies, Brewers, and Dodgers. Of course, another way of
looking at the numbers suggests that two of those six teams will fall
from first place by season’s end.

Los Angeles is already eight games up in what is probably baseball’s
worst division, so the Dodgers look pretty safe. On the other hand, I’d
have zero trouble imagining any of the other five June 1 division
leaders failing to hang onto their leads all season.

The Yankees have a one-game lead in baseball’s best division, the
Tigers have the worst record of any first-place team, the Rangers will
have to hold off the increasingly healthy Angels, the Phillies and Mets
figure to go down to the wire and may also be joined by the Braves, and
the NL Central is so tightly bunched behind the Brewers that they have
just a four-game lead over the fourth-place team.

Report: A-Rod to join ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball booth

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Alex Rodriguez’s post-retirement renaissance continues apace. After starring as a studio host for Fox’s playoff coverage over the past couple of years, A-Rod is about to be named to, arguably, televised baseball’s top job: color commentary in ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball booth.

Michael McCarthy of The Sporting News is hearing that ESPN is going to give the gig, vacated by Aaron Boone by virtue of his hiring by the Yankees, to Rodriguez. There he’ll join Jessica Mendoza and whoever they get to replace play-by-play man Dan Shulman, who chose to step back from the Sunday night job following last season.

The twist: A-Rod is likely to keep his Fox postseason job too. While some broadcasters work for multiple networks, it’s pretty rare for Fox to allow its talents to work for competitors like that. Apparently they believe keeping A-Rod — who five years ago was one of the most despised figures in baseball — is worth it. What a difference a few years makes.

In other news, Alex Rodriguez is likely to be shunned mightily by the current crop of BBWAA voters when he hits the Hall of Fame ballot in a couple of years. At the rate he’s going, though, their successors will put him in Cooperstown via the Ford Frick Award sometime in the 2040s.